Will it snow in Memphis?
Memphis, Tennessee · checked 4:08 pm CDT, Mon Oct 19
This week: the National Weather Service forecast
Snow is not in the National Weather Service forecast for Memphis for the next 7 days.
NWS forecast for central Memphis, issued 3:05 pm CDT, Mon Oct 19. It covers about 7 days and is updated several times a day.
The whole 7-day forecast
- This Afternoon: Sunny, with a high near 74. East wind around 5 mph.
- Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 50. East wind 0 to 5 mph.
- Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 76. East northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
- Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52. Northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
- Wednesday: Sunny. High near 78, with temperatures falling to around 74 in the afternoon. North northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
- Wednesday Night: Clear, with a low around 53. North northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
- Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 77. North northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
- Thursday Night: Clear, with a low around 54. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
- Friday: Sunny, with a high near 77.
- Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 56.
- Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 77.
- Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 56.
- Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.
- Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 55.
NWS forecast for Memphis · Weather alerts in Tennessee · Winter storm outlook
How often it snows in Memphis
Memphis averages 2.7 inches of snow a year in NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals (from 22 years of snowfall records in 1991–2020).
Measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) fell in 29 of the 30 winters from 1991–92 to 2020–21 with complete records — about 97%.
In the winters that had any, the median date of the first measurable snow was January 7, and of the last February 6. The earliest first snow came on November 7, 1991.
The snowiest of those winters was 2020–21, with 10.3 inches.
The snowiest month on average is February, with 1.0 inch.
On average there are 2.6 days a year with at least 0.1 inch of snowfall.
Average snowfall by month, 1991–2020
| Month | Snowfall |
|---|---|
| November | 0.1 inches |
| December | 0.2 inches |
| January | 0.9 inches |
| February | 1.0 inch |
| March | 0.5 inches |
Months with none on average are left out.
Will Memphis have a white Christmas?
NOAA's 1991–2020 daily normals give Memphis a 1.4% chance of at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on December 25 — the measure NOAA uses for its white Christmas maps.
The chance of at least 0.1 inch of snow falling that day is 1.7%.
These are long-run chances from past winters, smoothed across the days around Christmas — not a forecast for this year.
White Christmas in Memphis: every Christmas Day since 1991
Where these numbers come from
Climate: NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (annual, monthly and daily station normals) for Memphis International Airport, GHCN-Daily station USW00013893, 12 km from the city centre. First and last snow dates, the share of winters with snow and the snowiest winter were counted by this site from the same station's daily snowfall for the winters 1991–92 to 2020–21, read through the Regional Climate Centers' ACIS service; a winter with more than 10 missing days between October and April is left out. Forecast: the National Weather Service API, read at most once an hour. All US government data, public domain.
This site does not issue warnings or predict snow. It repeats the official forecast and the long-run record.
NOAA's winter outlook 2026–27 for Tennessee
Questions
Will it snow in Memphis this week?
Snow is not in the National Weather Service forecast for Memphis for the next 7 days. The National Weather Service updates its forecast several times a day.
Will it snow in Memphis this winter (2026–27)?
Nobody can say for a whole winter ahead. In the 30 winters from 1991–92 to 2020–21 with complete records, measurable snow fell in 29, and the 1991–2020 average is 2.7 inches a year. NOAA's seasonal outlook gives the chances of a colder or wetter winter than normal, not snow totals.
When does Memphis usually get its first snow?
In the 29 winters that had measurable snow, the median date of the first one was January 7; the earliest was November 7, 1991.
Will Memphis have a white Christmas?
NOAA's 1991–2020 daily normals give Memphis a 1.4% chance of at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on December 25 — the measure NOAA uses for its white Christmas maps. The chance of at least 0.1 inch of snow falling that day is 1.7%. These are long-run chances from past winters, smoothed across the days around Christmas — not a forecast for this year.
Will it snow in other US cities?
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