Will it snow in El Paso?
El Paso, Texas · checked 1:51 pm MDT, Mon Oct 19
This week: the National Weather Service forecast
Snow is not in the National Weather Service forecast for El Paso for the next 7 days.
NWS forecast for central El Paso, issued 12:27 pm MDT, Mon Oct 19. It covers about 7 days and is updated several times a day.
The whole 7-day forecast
- This Afternoon: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 3pm and 4pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. East southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
- Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 9pm and midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. East northeast wind around 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
- Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. East wind around 5 mph.
- Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. East wind 1 to 7 mph.
- Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. East southeast wind 7 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
- Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. East southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
- Thursday: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Southeast wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
- Thursday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Southeast wind 5 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
- Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. South wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
- Friday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
- Saturday: A chance of rain showers after noon. Sunny, with a high near 75. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
- Saturday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
- Sunday: A chance of rain showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
- Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 57.
NWS forecast for El Paso · Weather alerts in Texas · Winter storm outlook
How often it snows in El Paso
El Paso averages 2.8 inches of snow a year in NOAA's 1991–2020 climate normals (from 18 years of snowfall records in 1991–2020).
Measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) fell in 21 of the 30 winters from 1991–92 to 2020–21 with complete records — about 70%.
In the winters that had any, the median date of the first measurable snow was December 24, and of the last January 4. The earliest first snow came on October 29, 1993.
The snowiest of those winters was 2009–10, with 8.8 inches.
The snowiest month on average is December, with 1.3 inches.
On average there are 2.1 days a year with at least 0.1 inch of snowfall.
Average snowfall by month, 1991–2020
| Month | Snowfall |
|---|---|
| November | 0.5 inches |
| December | 1.3 inches |
| January | 0.8 inches |
| February | 0.2 inches |
Months with none on average are left out.
Will El Paso have a white Christmas?
NOAA's 1991–2020 daily normals give El Paso a 1.5% chance of at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on December 25 — the measure NOAA uses for its white Christmas maps.
The chance of at least 0.1 inch of snow falling that day is 2.5%.
These are long-run chances from past winters, smoothed across the days around Christmas — not a forecast for this year.
White Christmas in El Paso: every Christmas Day since 1991
Where these numbers come from
Climate: NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (annual, monthly and daily station normals) for El Paso International Airport, GHCN-Daily station USW00023044, 12 km from the city centre. First and last snow dates, the share of winters with snow and the snowiest winter were counted by this site from the same station's daily snowfall for the winters 1991–92 to 2020–21, read through the Regional Climate Centers' ACIS service; a winter with more than 10 missing days between October and April is left out. Forecast: the National Weather Service API, read at most once an hour. All US government data, public domain.
This site does not issue warnings or predict snow. It repeats the official forecast and the long-run record.
NOAA's winter outlook 2026–27 for Texas
Questions
Will it snow in El Paso this week?
Snow is not in the National Weather Service forecast for El Paso for the next 7 days. The National Weather Service updates its forecast several times a day.
Will it snow in El Paso this winter (2026–27)?
Nobody can say for a whole winter ahead. In the 30 winters from 1991–92 to 2020–21 with complete records, measurable snow fell in 21, and the 1991–2020 average is 2.8 inches a year. NOAA's seasonal outlook gives the chances of a colder or wetter winter than normal, not snow totals.
When does El Paso usually get its first snow?
In the 21 winters that had measurable snow, the median date of the first one was December 24; the earliest was October 29, 1993.
Will El Paso have a white Christmas?
NOAA's 1991–2020 daily normals give El Paso a 1.5% chance of at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on December 25 — the measure NOAA uses for its white Christmas maps. The chance of at least 0.1 inch of snow falling that day is 2.5%. These are long-run chances from past winters, smoothed across the days around Christmas — not a forecast for this year.
Will it snow in other US cities?
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