Natural disaster risk in James City County, Virginia
Virginia · population 78,221 · FIPS 51095
Overall: relatively low risk
James City County has a composite risk score of 53.3 out of 100 — higher than 53% of US counties. It ranks 31 of 133 in Virginia (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are drought, hurricane, ice storm.
Drought now: No, but abnormally dry (D0)
No drought, but abnormally dry. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 70.28% of James City County is D0 Abnormally Dry and none of it is in drought (D1 to D4). Some of it has been abnormally dry or worse for 52 weeks in a row.
Drought in James City County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Relatively low 53.3 |
| Expected annual loss About $22.2 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Relatively low 63.7 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Very low 14.9 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Very high 93.8 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in James City County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Drought | Relatively moderate 85 |
| Hurricane | Relatively moderate 82 |
| Ice storm | Relatively moderate 67 |
| Lightning | Relatively moderate 64 |
| Earthquake | Relatively low 61 |
| Heat wave | Relatively low 61 |
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Relatively low 60 |
| Winter weather | Relatively low 60 |
| Coastal flooding | Relatively low 53 |
| Tornado | Relatively low 51 |
| Strong wind | Relatively low 42 |
| Cold wave | Relatively low 36 |
| Landslide | Very low 53 |
| Wildfire | Very low 46 |
| Hail | Very low 32 |
| Avalanche | Not applicable |
| Tsunami | Insufficient data |
| Volcanic activity | Not applicable |
FEMA disaster declarations for James City County
Federal declarations that designated James City County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
Yes. James City County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is EM-3631-VA (Severe Winter Storm), declared 23 Jan 2026.
| Declaration | Kind | Incident | Declared | Individual assistance here |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EM-3631-VA | Emergency | Severe Winter Storm | 23 Jan 2026 | No |
All FEMA declarations in Virginia, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in James City County, Virginia?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in James City County as relatively low, with a score of 53.3 out of 100 (higher than 53% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in James City County?
The hazards rated highest for James City County are drought (relatively moderate), hurricane (relatively moderate), ice storm (relatively moderate).
What is the flood risk in James City County?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in James City County as relatively low, and coastal flooding risk as relatively low. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has James City County had a FEMA disaster declaration?
Yes. James City County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is EM-3631-VA (Severe Winter Storm), declared 23 Jan 2026.
Is James City County in a drought?
No drought, but abnormally dry. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 70.28% of James City County is D0 Abnormally Dry and none of it is in drought (D1 to D4). Some of it has been abnormally dry or worse for 52 weeks in a row.
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