Natural disaster risk in Cumberland County, Virginia

Virginia · population 9,675 · FIPS 51049

Overall: very low risk

Cumberland County has a composite risk score of 19.7 out of 100 — higher than 19% of US counties. It ranks 78 of 133 in Virginia (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are drought, hurricane, earthquake.

Drought now: No: no drought or dryness

No. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, no part of Cumberland County is in drought or abnormally dry (none of D0 to D4). That has been so for 3 weeks in a row.

Drought in Cumberland County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu

The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.

Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience

MeasureRating and score
Overall risk
Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience.
Very low 19.7
Expected annual loss
About $5.1 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards.
Very low 13.6
Social vulnerability
Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover.
Relatively high 78.3
Community resilience
Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover.
Very low 11.9

Risk by hazard

FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Cumberland County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.

HazardRisk rating and score
Drought Relatively high 96
Hurricane Relatively low 72
Earthquake Relatively low 60
Ice storm Relatively low 29
Strong wind Relatively low 17
Landslide Very low 28
Heat wave Very low 22
Lightning Very low 20
Tornado Very low 17
Inland (riverine) flooding Very low 16
Winter weather Very low 14
Hail Very low 13
Wildfire Very low 8
Cold wave Very low 5
Avalanche Not applicable
Coastal flooding Not applicable
Tsunami Not applicable
Volcanic activity Not applicable

FEMA disaster declarations for Cumberland County

Federal declarations that designated Cumberland County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.

Yes. Cumberland County has been named in 2 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is EM-3631-VA (Severe Winter Storm), declared 23 Jan 2026.

DeclarationKindIncidentDeclaredIndividual assistance here
EM-3631-VA Emergency Severe Winter Storm 23 Jan 2026 No
DR-4863-VA Major disaster Severe Winter Storms and Flooding 4 Apr 2025 No

All FEMA declarations in Virginia, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.

How to read these ratings

  • Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
  • Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
  • Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
  • Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
  • Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
  • Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
  • "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).

About this data

Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.

Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Cumberland County, Virginia?

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Cumberland County as very low, with a score of 19.7 out of 100 (higher than 19% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.

What are the biggest natural hazards in Cumberland County?

The hazards rated highest for Cumberland County are drought (relatively high), hurricane (relatively low), earthquake (relatively low).

What is the flood risk in Cumberland County?

FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Cumberland County as very low. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.

Has Cumberland County had a FEMA disaster declaration?

Yes. Cumberland County has been named in 2 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is EM-3631-VA (Severe Winter Storm), declared 23 Jan 2026.

Is Cumberland County in a drought?

No. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, no part of Cumberland County is in drought or abnormally dry (none of D0 to D4). That has been so for 3 weeks in a row.

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