Natural disaster risk in Forsyth County, Georgia
Georgia · population 251,239 · FIPS 13117
Overall: relatively moderate risk
Forsyth County has a composite risk score of 86.1 out of 100 — higher than 86% of US counties. It ranks 8 of 159 in Georgia (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are tornado, lightning, inland (riverine) flooding.
Drought now: Yes: D1 Moderate Drought, at least 54 weeks
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 45.67% of Forsyth County is in D1 Moderate Drought. Some of it has been at D1 or worse for at least 54 weeks in a row.
Drought in Forsyth County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Relatively moderate 86.1 |
| Expected annual loss About $89.6 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Relatively moderate 89.8 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Very low 10.6 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Relatively high 73.2 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Forsyth County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Tornado | Relatively high 94 |
| Lightning | Relatively high 86 |
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Relatively moderate 90 |
| Hail | Relatively moderate 87 |
| Cold wave | Relatively moderate 79 |
| Ice storm | Relatively moderate 79 |
| Strong wind | Relatively moderate 70 |
| Earthquake | Relatively low 82 |
| Landslide | Relatively low 74 |
| Heat wave | Relatively low 63 |
| Winter weather | Relatively low 27 |
| Hurricane | Very low 55 |
| Wildfire | Very low 48 |
| Avalanche | Not applicable |
| Coastal flooding | Not applicable |
| Drought | No rating |
| Tsunami | Not applicable |
| Volcanic activity | Not applicable |
FEMA disaster declarations for Forsyth County
Federal declarations that designated Forsyth County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
Yes. Forsyth County has been named in 3 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is EM-3657-GA (Hurricane Isaias), declared 9 Oct 2026.
| Declaration | Kind | Incident | Declared | Individual assistance here |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EM-3657-GA | Emergency | Hurricane Isaias | 9 Oct 2026 | No |
| EM-3642-GA | Emergency | Severe Winter Storm | 24 Jan 2026 | No |
| EM-3616-GA | Emergency | Hurricane Helene | 26 Sep 2024 | No |
All FEMA declarations in Georgia, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Forsyth County, Georgia?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Forsyth County as relatively moderate, with a score of 86.1 out of 100 (higher than 86% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in Forsyth County?
The hazards rated highest for Forsyth County are tornado (relatively high), lightning (relatively high), inland (riverine) flooding (relatively moderate).
What is the flood risk in Forsyth County?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Forsyth County as relatively moderate. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has Forsyth County had a FEMA disaster declaration?
Yes. Forsyth County has been named in 3 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is EM-3657-GA (Hurricane Isaias), declared 9 Oct 2026.
Is Forsyth County in a drought?
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 45.67% of Forsyth County is in D1 Moderate Drought. Some of it has been at D1 or worse for at least 54 weeks in a row.
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