Will it be a white Christmas in Nashville?

Nashville, Tennessee · checked 2:48 pm CDT, Mon Oct 19

Christmas 2026

Forecasts reach about 7 days ahead, so nobody can say yet whether Nashville will see snow on Christmas 2026. From December 18, 2026 this page shows the National Weather Service forecast for Christmas Eve night and Christmas Day.

Past Christmas Days in Nashville

At Nashville International Airport, at least 1 inch of snow was on the ground on December 25 in 1 of the 27 years from 1991 to 2025 with a snow-depth reading. That one year was 2010, with 1 inch.

Snow fell on Christmas Day itself — any amount, even a trace — in 5 of the 35 years with a snowfall reading; 3 of them had 0.1 inch or more.

NOAA's 1991–2020 normals give Nashville a 1.3% chance of at least 1 inch of snow on the ground around December 25 — the figure behind NOAA's white Christmas map.

These are past Christmases, not a forecast for this year.

Every December 25 from 1991 to 2025
YearSnow on the groundSnow that fellWhite by NOAA's measure
20250 inchesnone No
20240 inchesnone No
20230 inchesnone No
20220 inchesnone No
20210 inchesnone No
20200 inchestrace No
20190 inchesnone No
20180 inchesnone No
20170 inchesnone No
20160 inchesnone No
20150 inchesnone No
20140 inchesnone No
20130 inchesnone No
20120 inchesnone No
20110 inchesnone No
20101 inch1.1 in Yes
20090 inchesnone No
20080 inchesnone No
20070 inchesnone No
20060 inchesnone No
20050 inchesnone No
2004no readingnone unknown
2003no readingnone unknown
20020 inchesnone No
2001no readingnone unknown
2000no readingnone unknown
1999no readingnone unknown
1998no readingnone unknown
1997no readingnone unknown
1996no readingnone unknown
19950 inchestrace No
19940 inchesnone No
19930 inches0.3 in No
19920 inches0.3 in No
19910 inchesnone No

Snow depth is measured once a day in whole inches; a trace is less than half an inch. "No reading" means the station sent none for that day.

Where these numbers come from

Past Christmas Days: snow depth and snowfall on December 25, 1991 to 2025, at Nashville International Airport (GHCN-Daily station USW00013897, 10 km from the city centre), read through the Regional Climate Centers' ACIS service. Chance: NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020, daily normal DLY-SNWD-PCTALL-GE001WI for December 25, which NCEI defines as the probability in a 29-day window centred on the date; the same normals are behind NOAA's white Christmas map. Forecast: the National Weather Service API, from December 18. All US government data, public domain.

No bookmaker odds. This site does not predict snow; it repeats the official forecast and the record.

Will it snow in Nashville? This week's forecast and first snow dates

Questions

Will it be a white Christmas in Nashville in 2026?

Forecasts reach about 7 days ahead, so nobody can say yet whether Nashville will see snow on Christmas 2026. From December 18, 2026 this page shows the National Weather Service forecast for Christmas Eve night and Christmas Day.

What are the chances of a white Christmas in Nashville?

NOAA's 1991–2020 normals give Nashville a 1.3% chance of at least 1 inch of snow on the ground around December 25 — the figure behind NOAA's white Christmas map. It is the share of days with 1 inch or more on the ground in a 29-day window centred on December 25, so it describes late December, not the day alone.

When was the last white Christmas in Nashville?

At Nashville International Airport, at least 1 inch of snow was on the ground on December 25 in 1 of the 27 years from 1991 to 2025 with a snow-depth reading. That one year was 2010, with 1 inch.

Would Nashville count as white by the UK rule?

At this one station, snow was seen falling on 5 of the 35 Christmas Days with a snowfall reading from 1991 to 2025 — the Met Office's test. The UK rule counts a single snowflake anywhere in the country, not at one station.

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