Natural disaster risk in San Jacinto County, Texas
Texas · population 27,373 · FIPS 48407
Overall: relatively low risk
San Jacinto County has a composite risk score of 58.9 out of 100 — higher than 58% of US counties. It ranks 112 of 254 in Texas (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are tornado, lightning, hurricane.
Drought now: Yes: D1 Moderate Drought, 8 weeks
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 92.68% of San Jacinto County is in D1 Moderate Drought. Some of it has been at D1 or worse for 8 weeks in a row.
Drought in San Jacinto County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Relatively low 58.9 |
| Expected annual loss About $14.1 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Very low 48.5 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Very high 80.9 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Very low 9.5 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in San Jacinto County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Tornado | Relatively moderate 90 |
| Lightning | Relatively moderate 74 |
| Hurricane | Relatively low 74 |
| Wildfire | Relatively low 68 |
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Relatively low 60 |
| Ice storm | Relatively low 58 |
| Heat wave | Relatively low 57 |
| Cold wave | Relatively low 55 |
| Strong wind | Relatively low 42 |
| Landslide | Very low 31 |
| Hail | Very low 29 |
| Earthquake | Very low 20 |
| Winter weather | Very low 6 |
| Avalanche | Not applicable |
| Coastal flooding | Not applicable |
| Drought | No rating |
| Tsunami | Not applicable |
| Volcanic activity | Not applicable |
FEMA disaster declarations for San Jacinto County
Federal declarations that designated San Jacinto County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
Yes. San Jacinto County has been named in 3 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is FM-5573-TX (Pauline Road Fire), declared 20 Mar 2025.
| Declaration | Kind | Incident | Declared | Individual assistance here |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FM-5573-TX | Fire management | Pauline Road Fire | 20 Mar 2025 | No |
| DR-4798-TX | Major disaster | Hurricane Beryl | 9 Jul 2024 | Yes |
| DR-4781-TX | Major disaster | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding | 17 May 2024 | Yes |
All FEMA declarations in Texas, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in San Jacinto County, Texas?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in San Jacinto County as relatively low, with a score of 58.9 out of 100 (higher than 58% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in San Jacinto County?
The hazards rated highest for San Jacinto County are tornado (relatively moderate), lightning (relatively moderate), hurricane (relatively low).
What is the flood risk in San Jacinto County?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in San Jacinto County as relatively low. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has San Jacinto County had a FEMA disaster declaration?
Yes. San Jacinto County has been named in 3 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is FM-5573-TX (Pauline Road Fire), declared 20 Mar 2025.
Is San Jacinto County in a drought?
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 92.68% of San Jacinto County is in D1 Moderate Drought. Some of it has been at D1 or worse for 8 weeks in a row.
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