Natural disaster risk in Real County, Texas
Texas · population 2,757 · FIPS 48385
Overall: very low risk
Real County has a composite risk score of 42.6 out of 100 — higher than 42% of US counties. It ranks 142 of 254 in Texas (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are wildfire, inland (riverine) flooding, drought.
Drought now: No, but abnormally dry (D0)
No drought, but abnormally dry. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 59.11% of Real County is D0 Abnormally Dry and none of it is in drought (D1 to D4). Some of it has been abnormally dry or worse for 3 weeks in a row.
Drought in Real County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Very low 42.6 |
| Expected annual loss About $7.7 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Very low 25.2 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Very high 98.4 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Very low 14.3 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Real County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively low 72 |
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Relatively low 68 |
| Drought | Relatively low 41 |
| Lightning | Relatively low 32 |
| Winter weather | Relatively low 24 |
| Hurricane | Very low 46 |
| Landslide | Very low 46 |
| Hail | Very low 23 |
| Heat wave | Very low 19 |
| Cold wave | Very low 18 |
| Tornado | Very low 16 |
| Strong wind | Very low 6 |
| Earthquake | Very low 1 |
| Ice storm | Very low 0 |
| Avalanche | Not applicable |
| Coastal flooding | Not applicable |
| Tsunami | Not applicable |
| Volcanic activity | Not applicable |
FEMA disaster declarations for Real County
Federal declarations that designated Real County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
Yes. Real County has been named in 3 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4935-TX (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding), declared 1 Sep 2026.
| Declaration | Kind | Incident | Declared | Individual assistance here |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DR-4935-TX | Major disaster | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding | 1 Sep 2026 | No |
| EM-3649-TX | Emergency | Flooding | 18 Jul 2026 | No |
| DR-4879-TX | Major disaster | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding | 6 Jul 2025 | No |
All FEMA declarations in Texas, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Real County, Texas?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Real County as very low, with a score of 42.6 out of 100 (higher than 42% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in Real County?
The hazards rated highest for Real County are wildfire (relatively low), inland (riverine) flooding (relatively low), drought (relatively low).
What is the flood risk in Real County?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Real County as relatively low. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has Real County had a FEMA disaster declaration?
Yes. Real County has been named in 3 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4935-TX (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding), declared 1 Sep 2026.
Is Real County in a drought?
No drought, but abnormally dry. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 59.11% of Real County is D0 Abnormally Dry and none of it is in drought (D1 to D4). Some of it has been abnormally dry or worse for 3 weeks in a row.
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