Natural disaster risk in Lycoming County, Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania · population 114,105 · FIPS 42081
Overall: relatively low risk
Lycoming County has a composite risk score of 79.6 out of 100 — higher than 79% of US counties. It ranks 23 of 67 in Pennsylvania (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are winter weather, strong wind, inland (riverine) flooding.
Drought now: No: no drought or dryness
No. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, no part of Lycoming County is in drought or abnormally dry (none of D0 to D4). That has been so for 22 weeks in a row.
Drought in Lycoming County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Relatively low 79.6 |
| Expected annual loss About $40.9 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Relatively low 80.2 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Relatively moderate 41.9 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Very high 88.6 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Lycoming County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Winter weather | Relatively high 88 |
| Strong wind | Relatively high 87 |
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Relatively moderate 88 |
| Lightning | Relatively moderate 68 |
| Landslide | Relatively low 83 |
| Avalanche | Relatively low 75 |
| Hurricane | Relatively low 75 |
| Heat wave | Relatively low 52 |
| Tornado | Relatively low 50 |
| Cold wave | Relatively low 32 |
| Earthquake | Very low 48 |
| Wildfire | Very low 26 |
| Hail | Very low 17 |
| Ice storm | Very low 11 |
| Coastal flooding | Not applicable |
| Drought | No rating |
| Tsunami | Not applicable |
| Volcanic activity | Not applicable |
FEMA disaster declarations for Lycoming County
Federal declarations that designated Lycoming County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
Yes. Lycoming County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4815-PA (Tropical Storm Debby), declared 11 Sep 2024.
| Declaration | Kind | Incident | Declared | Individual assistance here |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DR-4815-PA | Major disaster | Tropical Storm Debby | 11 Sep 2024 | Yes |
All FEMA declarations in Pennsylvania, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Lycoming County, Pennsylvania?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Lycoming County as relatively low, with a score of 79.6 out of 100 (higher than 79% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in Lycoming County?
The hazards rated highest for Lycoming County are winter weather (relatively high), strong wind (relatively high), inland (riverine) flooding (relatively moderate).
What is the flood risk in Lycoming County?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Lycoming County as relatively moderate. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has Lycoming County had a FEMA disaster declaration?
Yes. Lycoming County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4815-PA (Tropical Storm Debby), declared 11 Sep 2024.
Is Lycoming County in a drought?
No. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, no part of Lycoming County is in drought or abnormally dry (none of D0 to D4). That has been so for 22 weeks in a row.
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