Natural disaster risk in Elk County, Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania · population 30,973 · FIPS 42047
Overall: relatively low risk
Elk County has a composite risk score of 45.2 out of 100 — higher than 45% of US counties. It ranks 58 of 67 in Pennsylvania (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are lightning, winter weather, landslide.
Drought now: No: no drought or dryness
No. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, no part of Elk County is in drought or abnormally dry (none of D0 to D4). That has been so for 29 weeks in a row.
Drought in Elk County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Relatively low 45.2 |
| Expected annual loss About $15.5 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Relatively low 51.6 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Relatively low 29.6 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Very high 88.5 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Elk County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Lightning | Relatively moderate 78 |
| Winter weather | Relatively moderate 67 |
| Landslide | Relatively low 70 |
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Relatively low 67 |
| Hurricane | Relatively low 63 |
| Strong wind | Relatively low 37 |
| Cold wave | Relatively low 28 |
| Avalanche | Very low 59 |
| Earthquake | Very low 27 |
| Tornado | Very low 18 |
| Ice storm | Very low 15 |
| Heat wave | Very low 7 |
| Hail | Very low 5 |
| Wildfire | Very low 5 |
| Coastal flooding | Not applicable |
| Drought | No rating |
| Tsunami | Not applicable |
| Volcanic activity | Not applicable |
FEMA disaster declarations for Elk County
Federal declarations that designated Elk County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
Yes. Elk County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4815-PA (Tropical Storm Debby), declared 11 Sep 2024.
| Declaration | Kind | Incident | Declared | Individual assistance here |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DR-4815-PA | Major disaster | Tropical Storm Debby | 11 Sep 2024 | No |
All FEMA declarations in Pennsylvania, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Elk County, Pennsylvania?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Elk County as relatively low, with a score of 45.2 out of 100 (higher than 45% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in Elk County?
The hazards rated highest for Elk County are lightning (relatively moderate), winter weather (relatively moderate), landslide (relatively low).
What is the flood risk in Elk County?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Elk County as relatively low. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has Elk County had a FEMA disaster declaration?
Yes. Elk County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4815-PA (Tropical Storm Debby), declared 11 Sep 2024.
Is Elk County in a drought?
No. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, no part of Elk County is in drought or abnormally dry (none of D0 to D4). That has been so for 29 weeks in a row.
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