Natural disaster risk in Umatilla County, Oregon

Oregon · population 79,888 · FIPS 41059

Overall: relatively moderate risk

Umatilla County has a composite risk score of 82.3 out of 100 — higher than 82% of US counties. It ranks 17 of 36 in Oregon (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are cold wave, ice storm, winter weather.

Drought now: Yes: D3 Extreme Drought, 19 weeks

Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 52.25% of Umatilla County is in D3 Extreme Drought. Some of it has been at D3 or worse for 19 weeks in a row. In all, 97.68% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).

Drought in Umatilla County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu

The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.

Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience

MeasureRating and score
Overall risk
Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience.
Relatively moderate 82.3
Expected annual loss
About $40.0 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards.
Relatively low 79.7
Social vulnerability
Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover.
Relatively moderate 59.6
Community resilience
Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover.
Very low 15.9

Risk by hazard

FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Umatilla County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.

HazardRisk rating and score
Cold wave Relatively high 94
Ice storm Relatively high 93
Winter weather Relatively high 89
Wildfire Relatively moderate 96
Landslide Relatively moderate 90
Heat wave Relatively moderate 86
Strong wind Relatively moderate 83
Drought Relatively moderate 82
Inland (riverine) flooding Relatively moderate 81
Earthquake Relatively low 87
Avalanche Relatively low 76
Lightning Relatively low 55
Hail Relatively low 52
Volcanic activity Very low 71
Tornado Very low 13
Coastal flooding Not applicable
Hurricane Not applicable
Tsunami Not applicable

FEMA disaster declarations for Umatilla County

Federal declarations that designated Umatilla County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.

Yes. Umatilla County has been named in 4 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is FM-5664-OR (Hagen Fire), declared 9 Aug 2026.

DeclarationKindIncidentDeclaredIndividual assistance here
FM-5664-OR Fire management Hagen Fire 9 Aug 2026 No
FM-5645-OR Fire management Lower Dry Creek Fire 16 Jul 2026 No
DR-4854-OR Major disaster Wildfires 1 Jan 2025 No
FM-5514-OR Fire management Battle Mountain Fire Complex 21 Jul 2024 No

All FEMA declarations in Oregon, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.

How to read these ratings

  • Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
  • Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
  • Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
  • Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
  • Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
  • Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
  • "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).

About this data

Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.

Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Umatilla County, Oregon?

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Umatilla County as relatively moderate, with a score of 82.3 out of 100 (higher than 82% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.

What are the biggest natural hazards in Umatilla County?

The hazards rated highest for Umatilla County are cold wave (relatively high), ice storm (relatively high), winter weather (relatively high).

What is the flood risk in Umatilla County?

FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Umatilla County as relatively moderate. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.

Has Umatilla County had a FEMA disaster declaration?

Yes. Umatilla County has been named in 4 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is FM-5664-OR (Hagen Fire), declared 9 Aug 2026.

Is Umatilla County in a drought?

Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 52.25% of Umatilla County is in D3 Extreme Drought. Some of it has been at D3 or worse for 19 weeks in a row. In all, 97.68% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).

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