Natural disaster risk in Douglas County, Oregon
Oregon · population 111,016 · FIPS 41019
Overall: relatively moderate risk
Douglas County has a composite risk score of 92.9 out of 100 — higher than 92% of US counties. It ranks 7 of 36 in Oregon (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are wildfire, inland (riverine) flooding, earthquake.
Drought now: Yes: D2 Severe Drought, 30 weeks
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 86.11% of Douglas County is in D2 Severe Drought. Some of it has been at D2 or worse for 30 weeks in a row. In all, 94.81% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).
Drought in Douglas County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Relatively moderate 92.9 |
| Expected annual loss About $94.0 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Relatively moderate 90.3 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Relatively high 79.1 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Relatively moderate 44.3 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Douglas County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively high 97 |
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Relatively high 95 |
| Earthquake | Relatively moderate 97 |
| Landslide | Relatively moderate 95 |
| Heat wave | Relatively moderate 87 |
| Winter weather | Relatively moderate 84 |
| Avalanche | Relatively moderate 82 |
| Ice storm | Relatively moderate 76 |
| Coastal flooding | Relatively moderate 62 |
| Volcanic activity | Relatively low 85 |
| Lightning | Relatively low 46 |
| Strong wind | Relatively low 24 |
| Tsunami | Very low 41 |
| Hail | Very low 23 |
| Drought | Very low 16 |
| Tornado | Very low 6 |
| Cold wave | Very low 3 |
| Hurricane | Not applicable |
FEMA disaster declarations for Douglas County
Federal declarations that designated Douglas County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
Yes. Douglas County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4881-OR (Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides), declared 22 Jul 2025.
| Declaration | Kind | Incident | Declared | Individual assistance here |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DR-4881-OR | Major disaster | Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides | 22 Jul 2025 | No |
All FEMA declarations in Oregon, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Douglas County, Oregon?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Douglas County as relatively moderate, with a score of 92.9 out of 100 (higher than 92% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in Douglas County?
The hazards rated highest for Douglas County are wildfire (relatively high), inland (riverine) flooding (relatively high), earthquake (relatively moderate).
What is the flood risk in Douglas County?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Douglas County as relatively high, and coastal flooding risk as relatively moderate. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has Douglas County had a FEMA disaster declaration?
Yes. Douglas County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4881-OR (Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides), declared 22 Jul 2025.
Is Douglas County in a drought?
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 86.11% of Douglas County is in D2 Severe Drought. Some of it has been at D2 or worse for 30 weeks in a row. In all, 94.81% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).
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