Natural disaster risk in Baker County, Oregon
Oregon · population 16,645 · FIPS 41001
Overall: relatively low risk
Baker County has a composite risk score of 48.2 out of 100 — higher than 48% of US counties. It ranks 23 of 36 in Oregon (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are avalanche, wildfire, winter weather.
Drought now: Yes: D3 Extreme Drought, 17 weeks
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 30.88% of Baker County is in D3 Extreme Drought. Some of it has been at D3 or worse for 17 weeks in a row. In all, 100% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).
Drought in Baker County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Relatively low 48.2 |
| Expected annual loss About $12.2 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Very low 42.8 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Relatively high 69.4 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Relatively moderate 46 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Baker County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Avalanche | Relatively high 91 |
| Wildfire | Relatively moderate 96 |
| Winter weather | Relatively moderate 75 |
| Landslide | Relatively low 83 |
| Earthquake | Relatively low 78 |
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Relatively low 47 |
| Heat wave | Relatively low 40 |
| Hail | Relatively low 38 |
| Lightning | Very low 23 |
| Ice storm | Very low 19 |
| Volcanic activity | Very low 19 |
| Cold wave | Very low 16 |
| Drought | Very low 16 |
| Strong wind | Very low 10 |
| Tornado | Very low 5 |
| Coastal flooding | Not applicable |
| Hurricane | Not applicable |
| Tsunami | Not applicable |
FEMA disaster declarations for Baker County
Federal declarations that designated Baker County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
Yes. Baker County has been named in 2 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is FM-5654-OR (Fox Fire), declared 31 Jul 2026.
| Declaration | Kind | Incident | Declared | Individual assistance here |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FM-5654-OR | Fire management | Fox Fire | 31 Jul 2026 | No |
| FM-5516-OR | Fire management | Durkee Fire | 22 Jul 2024 | No |
All FEMA declarations in Oregon, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Baker County, Oregon?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Baker County as relatively low, with a score of 48.2 out of 100 (higher than 48% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in Baker County?
The hazards rated highest for Baker County are avalanche (relatively high), wildfire (relatively moderate), winter weather (relatively moderate).
What is the flood risk in Baker County?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Baker County as relatively low. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has Baker County had a FEMA disaster declaration?
Yes. Baker County has been named in 2 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is FM-5654-OR (Fox Fire), declared 31 Jul 2026.
Is Baker County in a drought?
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 30.88% of Baker County is in D3 Extreme Drought. Some of it has been at D3 or worse for 17 weeks in a row. In all, 100% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).
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