Natural disaster risk in Wagoner County, Oklahoma
Oklahoma · population 80,907 · FIPS 40145
Overall: relatively low risk
Wagoner County has a composite risk score of 73.3 out of 100 — higher than 73% of US counties. It ranks 28 of 77 in Oklahoma (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are ice storm, heat wave, hail.
Drought now: Yes: D2 Severe Drought, 6 weeks
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 100% of Wagoner County is in D2 Severe Drought. Some of it has been at D2 or worse for 6 weeks in a row.
Drought in Wagoner County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Relatively low 73.3 |
| Expected annual loss About $34.5 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Relatively low 76.2 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Relatively low 28.4 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Relatively moderate 43 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Wagoner County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Ice storm | Very high 98 |
| Heat wave | Relatively moderate 94 |
| Hail | Relatively moderate 90 |
| Drought | Relatively moderate 89 |
| Winter weather | Relatively moderate 77 |
| Cold wave | Relatively moderate 75 |
| Tornado | Relatively moderate 72 |
| Lightning | Relatively moderate 68 |
| Wildfire | Relatively low 81 |
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Relatively low 70 |
| Strong wind | Relatively low 31 |
| Landslide | Very low 55 |
| Earthquake | Very low 49 |
| Hurricane | Very low 21 |
| Avalanche | Not applicable |
| Coastal flooding | Not applicable |
| Tsunami | Not applicable |
| Volcanic activity | Not applicable |
FEMA disaster declarations for Wagoner County
Federal declarations that designated Wagoner County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
Yes. Wagoner County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4776-OK (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding), declared 30 Apr 2024.
| Declaration | Kind | Incident | Declared | Individual assistance here |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DR-4776-OK | Major disaster | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding | 30 Apr 2024 | No |
All FEMA declarations in Oklahoma, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Wagoner County, Oklahoma?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Wagoner County as relatively low, with a score of 73.3 out of 100 (higher than 73% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in Wagoner County?
The hazards rated highest for Wagoner County are ice storm (very high), heat wave (relatively moderate), hail (relatively moderate).
What is the flood risk in Wagoner County?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Wagoner County as relatively low. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has Wagoner County had a FEMA disaster declaration?
Yes. Wagoner County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4776-OK (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding), declared 30 Apr 2024.
Is Wagoner County in a drought?
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 100% of Wagoner County is in D2 Severe Drought. Some of it has been at D2 or worse for 6 weeks in a row.
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