Natural disaster risk in Roger Mills County, Oklahoma
Oklahoma · population 3,442 · FIPS 40129
Overall: very low risk
Roger Mills County has a composite risk score of 23.2 out of 100 — higher than 23% of US counties. It ranks 70 of 77 in Oklahoma (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are drought, wildfire, ice storm.
Drought now: Yes: D4 Exceptional Drought, 23 weeks
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 74.69% of Roger Mills County is in D4 Exceptional Drought. Some of it has been at D4 for 23 weeks in a row. In all, 100% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).
Drought in Roger Mills County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Very low 23.2 |
| Expected annual loss About $4.8 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Very low 12.3 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Very high 95.6 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Very low 17.5 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Roger Mills County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Drought | Relatively high 94 |
| Wildfire | Relatively moderate 89 |
| Ice storm | Relatively moderate 73 |
| Strong wind | Relatively moderate 63 |
| Landslide | Relatively low 72 |
| Winter weather | Relatively low 52 |
| Hail | Relatively low 51 |
| Cold wave | Relatively low 40 |
| Tornado | Relatively low 39 |
| Heat wave | Very low 24 |
| Earthquake | Very low 18 |
| Hurricane | Very low 17 |
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Very low 10 |
| Lightning | Very low 8 |
| Avalanche | Not applicable |
| Coastal flooding | Not applicable |
| Tsunami | Not applicable |
| Volcanic activity | Not applicable |
FEMA disaster declarations for Roger Mills County
Federal declarations that designated Roger Mills County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
Yes. Roger Mills County has been named in 2 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is FM-5557-OK (840 Road Fire), declared 14 Mar 2025.
| Declaration | Kind | Incident | Declared | Individual assistance here |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FM-5557-OK | Fire management | 840 Road Fire | 14 Mar 2025 | No |
| DR-4791-OK | Major disaster | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding | 14 Jun 2024 | No |
All FEMA declarations in Oklahoma, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Roger Mills County, Oklahoma?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Roger Mills County as very low, with a score of 23.2 out of 100 (higher than 23% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in Roger Mills County?
The hazards rated highest for Roger Mills County are drought (relatively high), wildfire (relatively moderate), ice storm (relatively moderate).
What is the flood risk in Roger Mills County?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Roger Mills County as very low. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has Roger Mills County had a FEMA disaster declaration?
Yes. Roger Mills County has been named in 2 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is FM-5557-OK (840 Road Fire), declared 14 Mar 2025.
Is Roger Mills County in a drought?
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 74.69% of Roger Mills County is in D4 Exceptional Drought. Some of it has been at D4 for 23 weeks in a row. In all, 100% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).
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