Natural disaster risk in Canadian County, Oklahoma
Oklahoma · population 153,947 · FIPS 40017
Overall: relatively moderate risk
Canadian County has a composite risk score of 83.5 out of 100 — higher than 83% of US counties. It ranks 7 of 77 in Oklahoma (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are ice storm, hail, tornado.
Drought now: Yes: D4 Exceptional Drought, 8 weeks
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 82.98% of Canadian County is in D4 Exceptional Drought. Some of it has been at D4 for 8 weeks in a row. In all, 100% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).
Drought in Canadian County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Relatively moderate 83.5 |
| Expected annual loss About $73.9 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Relatively moderate 88.2 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Very low 10.6 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Relatively high 62.1 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Canadian County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Ice storm | Very high 98 |
| Hail | Relatively high 96 |
| Tornado | Relatively high 95 |
| Cold wave | Relatively high 91 |
| Winter weather | Relatively high 87 |
| Heat wave | Relatively moderate 93 |
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Relatively moderate 75 |
| Drought | Relatively moderate 70 |
| Strong wind | Relatively moderate 63 |
| Wildfire | Relatively low 83 |
| Earthquake | Relatively low 61 |
| Lightning | Relatively low 26 |
| Landslide | Very low 60 |
| Hurricane | Very low 30 |
| Avalanche | Not applicable |
| Coastal flooding | Not applicable |
| Tsunami | Not applicable |
| Volcanic activity | Not applicable |
FEMA disaster declarations for Canadian County
Federal declarations that designated Canadian County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
Yes. Canadian County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is FM-5669-OK (Train Trestle Fire), declared 13 Aug 2026.
| Declaration | Kind | Incident | Declared | Individual assistance here |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FM-5669-OK | Fire management | Train Trestle Fire | 13 Aug 2026 | No |
All FEMA declarations in Oklahoma, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Canadian County, Oklahoma?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Canadian County as relatively moderate, with a score of 83.5 out of 100 (higher than 83% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in Canadian County?
The hazards rated highest for Canadian County are ice storm (very high), hail (relatively high), tornado (relatively high).
What is the flood risk in Canadian County?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Canadian County as relatively moderate. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has Canadian County had a FEMA disaster declaration?
Yes. Canadian County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is FM-5669-OK (Train Trestle Fire), declared 13 Aug 2026.
Is Canadian County in a drought?
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 82.98% of Canadian County is in D4 Exceptional Drought. Some of it has been at D4 for 8 weeks in a row. In all, 100% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).
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