Natural disaster risk in Grant County, New Mexico
New Mexico · population 28,092 · FIPS 35017
Overall: relatively low risk
Grant County has a composite risk score of 74.1 out of 100 — higher than 74% of US counties. It ranks 17 of 33 in New Mexico (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are wildfire, inland (riverine) flooding, winter weather.
Drought now: Yes: D2 Severe Drought, at least 54 weeks
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 20.94% of Grant County is in D2 Severe Drought. Some of it has been at D2 or worse for at least 54 weeks in a row. In all, 99.67% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).
Drought in Grant County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Relatively low 74.1 |
| Expected annual loss About $20.8 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Relatively low 61.9 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Very high 88.5 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Very low 7.9 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Grant County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively moderate 96 |
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Relatively moderate 83 |
| Winter weather | Relatively moderate 82 |
| Lightning | Relatively moderate 79 |
| Landslide | Relatively low 70 |
| Heat wave | Relatively low 58 |
| Drought | Relatively low 38 |
| Earthquake | Very low 50 |
| Avalanche | Very low 49 |
| Hail | Very low 26 |
| Ice storm | Very low 16 |
| Hurricane | Very low 7 |
| Tornado | Very low 6 |
| Cold wave | Very low 3 |
| Strong wind | Very low 3 |
| Coastal flooding | Not applicable |
| Tsunami | Not applicable |
| Volcanic activity | Not applicable |
FEMA disaster declarations for Grant County
Federal declarations that designated Grant County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
Yes. Grant County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is FM-5588-NM (Trout Fire), declared 16 Jun 2025.
| Declaration | Kind | Incident | Declared | Individual assistance here |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FM-5588-NM | Fire management | Trout Fire | 16 Jun 2025 | No |
All FEMA declarations in New Mexico, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Grant County, New Mexico?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Grant County as relatively low, with a score of 74.1 out of 100 (higher than 74% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in Grant County?
The hazards rated highest for Grant County are wildfire (relatively moderate), inland (riverine) flooding (relatively moderate), winter weather (relatively moderate).
What is the flood risk in Grant County?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Grant County as relatively moderate. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has Grant County had a FEMA disaster declaration?
Yes. Grant County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is FM-5588-NM (Trout Fire), declared 16 Jun 2025.
Is Grant County in a drought?
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 20.94% of Grant County is in D2 Severe Drought. Some of it has been at D2 or worse for at least 54 weeks in a row. In all, 99.67% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).
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