Natural disaster risk in Doña Ana County, New Mexico
New Mexico · population 218,940 · FIPS 35013
Overall: relatively high risk
Doña Ana County has a composite risk score of 96.1 out of 100 — higher than 96% of US counties. It ranks 1 of 33 in New Mexico (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are lightning, winter weather, drought.
Drought now: Yes: D1 Moderate Drought, at least 54 weeks
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 12.84% of Doña Ana County is in D1 Moderate Drought. Some of it has been at D1 or worse for at least 54 weeks in a row.
Drought in Doña Ana County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Relatively high 96.1 |
| Expected annual loss About $163.6 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Relatively moderate 94.7 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Relatively high 67.5 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Very low 4.5 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Doña Ana County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Lightning | Very high 97 |
| Winter weather | Very high 97 |
| Drought | Relatively high 99 |
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Relatively high 98 |
| Hail | Relatively high 96 |
| Heat wave | Relatively moderate 94 |
| Earthquake | Relatively moderate 91 |
| Cold wave | Relatively moderate 81 |
| Ice storm | Relatively moderate 64 |
| Strong wind | Relatively moderate 58 |
| Wildfire | Relatively low 86 |
| Landslide | Very low 40 |
| Avalanche | Very low 38 |
| Hurricane | Very low 36 |
| Tornado | Very low 20 |
| Coastal flooding | Not applicable |
| Tsunami | Not applicable |
| Volcanic activity | No rating |
FEMA disaster declarations for Doña Ana County
Federal declarations that designated Doña Ana County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
Yes. Doña Ana County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4886-NM (Severe Storms, Flooding, and Landslides), declared 22 Jul 2025.
| Declaration | Kind | Incident | Declared | Individual assistance here |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DR-4886-NM | Major disaster | Severe Storms, Flooding, and Landslides | 22 Jul 2025 | No |
All FEMA declarations in New Mexico, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Doña Ana County, New Mexico?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Doña Ana County as relatively high, with a score of 96.1 out of 100 (higher than 96% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in Doña Ana County?
The hazards rated highest for Doña Ana County are lightning (very high), winter weather (very high), drought (relatively high).
What is the flood risk in Doña Ana County?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Doña Ana County as relatively high. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has Doña Ana County had a FEMA disaster declaration?
Yes. Doña Ana County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4886-NM (Severe Storms, Flooding, and Landslides), declared 22 Jul 2025.
Is Doña Ana County in a drought?
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 12.84% of Doña Ana County is in D1 Moderate Drought. Some of it has been at D1 or worse for at least 54 weeks in a row.
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