Natural disaster risk in Red Willow County, Nebraska
Nebraska · population 10,698 · FIPS 31145
Overall: very low risk
Red Willow County has a composite risk score of 20.3 out of 100 — higher than 20% of US counties. It ranks 50 of 93 in Nebraska (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are hail, drought, winter weather.
Drought now: No, but abnormally dry (D0)
No drought, but abnormally dry. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 9.41% of Red Willow County is D0 Abnormally Dry and none of it is in drought (D1 to D4). Some of it has been abnormally dry or worse for 43 weeks in a row.
Drought in Red Willow County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Very low 20.3 |
| Expected annual loss About $8.2 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Very low 27.4 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Relatively low 24.4 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Relatively moderate 45.6 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Red Willow County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Hail | Relatively moderate 91 |
| Drought | Relatively moderate 86 |
| Winter weather | Relatively moderate 72 |
| Strong wind | Relatively moderate 53 |
| Ice storm | Relatively low 55 |
| Tornado | Relatively low 40 |
| Cold wave | Relatively low 37 |
| Lightning | Relatively low 33 |
| Heat wave | Very low 26 |
| Wildfire | Very low 23 |
| Landslide | Very low 14 |
| Earthquake | Very low 12 |
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Very low 10 |
| Avalanche | Not applicable |
| Coastal flooding | Not applicable |
| Hurricane | Not applicable |
| Tsunami | Not applicable |
| Volcanic activity | Not applicable |
FEMA disaster declarations for Red Willow County
Federal declarations that designated Red Willow County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
Yes. Red Willow County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4808-NE (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding), declared 20 Aug 2024.
| Declaration | Kind | Incident | Declared | Individual assistance here |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DR-4808-NE | Major disaster | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding | 20 Aug 2024 | No |
All FEMA declarations in Nebraska, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Red Willow County, Nebraska?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Red Willow County as very low, with a score of 20.3 out of 100 (higher than 20% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in Red Willow County?
The hazards rated highest for Red Willow County are hail (relatively moderate), drought (relatively moderate), winter weather (relatively moderate).
What is the flood risk in Red Willow County?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Red Willow County as very low. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has Red Willow County had a FEMA disaster declaration?
Yes. Red Willow County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4808-NE (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding), declared 20 Aug 2024.
Is Red Willow County in a drought?
No drought, but abnormally dry. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 9.41% of Red Willow County is D0 Abnormally Dry and none of it is in drought (D1 to D4). Some of it has been abnormally dry or worse for 43 weeks in a row.
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