Natural disaster risk in Pawnee County, Nebraska
Nebraska · population 2,535 · FIPS 31133
Overall: very low risk
Pawnee County has a composite risk score of 3.8 out of 100 — higher than 3% of US counties. It ranks 75 of 93 in Nebraska (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are wildfire, drought, hail.
Drought now: No: no drought or dryness
No. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, no part of Pawnee County is in drought or abnormally dry (none of D0 to D4). That has been so for 10 weeks in a row.
Drought in Pawnee County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Very low 3.8 |
| Expected annual loss About $2.4 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Very low 3.3 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Relatively moderate 54.1 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Relatively moderate 47.1 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Pawnee County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively low 78 |
| Drought | Relatively low 53 |
| Hail | Relatively low 50 |
| Ice storm | Relatively low 35 |
| Winter weather | Relatively low 29 |
| Tornado | Relatively low 28 |
| Landslide | Very low 37 |
| Heat wave | Very low 27 |
| Strong wind | Very low 15 |
| Lightning | Very low 9 |
| Cold wave | Very low 8 |
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Very low 7 |
| Earthquake | Very low 5 |
| Avalanche | Not applicable |
| Coastal flooding | Not applicable |
| Hurricane | No rating |
| Tsunami | Not applicable |
| Volcanic activity | Not applicable |
FEMA disaster declarations for Pawnee County
Federal declarations that designated Pawnee County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
Not since 1 Jan 2024: no FEMA disaster declaration in the records this site read names Pawnee County.
All FEMA declarations in Nebraska, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Pawnee County, Nebraska?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Pawnee County as very low, with a score of 3.8 out of 100 (higher than 3% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in Pawnee County?
The hazards rated highest for Pawnee County are wildfire (relatively low), drought (relatively low), hail (relatively low).
What is the flood risk in Pawnee County?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Pawnee County as very low. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has Pawnee County had a FEMA disaster declaration?
Not since 1 Jan 2024: no FEMA disaster declaration in the records this site read names Pawnee County.
Is Pawnee County in a drought?
No. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, no part of Pawnee County is in drought or abnormally dry (none of D0 to D4). That has been so for 10 weeks in a row.
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