Natural disaster risk in Otoe County, Nebraska

Nebraska · population 15,885 · FIPS 31131

Overall: very low risk

Otoe County has a composite risk score of 18.0 out of 100 — higher than 18% of US counties. It ranks 53 of 93 in Nebraska (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are hail, drought, wildfire.

Drought now: No: no drought or dryness

No. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, no part of Otoe County is in drought or abnormally dry (none of D0 to D4). That has been so for 9 weeks in a row.

Drought in Otoe County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu

The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.

Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience

MeasureRating and score
Overall risk
Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience.
Very low 18
Expected annual loss
About $11.0 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards.
Very low 39.1
Social vulnerability
Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover.
Very low 10.6
Community resilience
Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover.
Very high 90.6

Risk by hazard

FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Otoe County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.

HazardRisk rating and score
Hail Relatively moderate 78
Drought Relatively moderate 66
Wildfire Relatively low 67
Ice storm Relatively low 58
Heat wave Relatively low 51
Tornado Relatively low 50
Strong wind Relatively low 48
Cold wave Relatively low 29
Landslide Very low 48
Winter weather Very low 24
Lightning Very low 21
Inland (riverine) flooding Very low 21
Earthquake Very low 11
Avalanche Not applicable
Coastal flooding Not applicable
Hurricane No rating
Tsunami Not applicable
Volcanic activity Not applicable

FEMA disaster declarations for Otoe County

Federal declarations that designated Otoe County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.

Yes. Otoe County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4868-NE (Severe Winter Storm and Straight-Line Winds), declared 21 May 2025.

DeclarationKindIncidentDeclaredIndividual assistance here
DR-4868-NE Major disaster Severe Winter Storm and Straight-Line Winds 21 May 2025 No

All FEMA declarations in Nebraska, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.

How to read these ratings

  • Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
  • Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
  • Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
  • Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
  • Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
  • Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
  • "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).

About this data

Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.

Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Otoe County, Nebraska?

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Otoe County as very low, with a score of 18.0 out of 100 (higher than 18% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.

What are the biggest natural hazards in Otoe County?

The hazards rated highest for Otoe County are hail (relatively moderate), drought (relatively moderate), wildfire (relatively low).

What is the flood risk in Otoe County?

FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Otoe County as very low. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.

Has Otoe County had a FEMA disaster declaration?

Yes. Otoe County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4868-NE (Severe Winter Storm and Straight-Line Winds), declared 21 May 2025.

Is Otoe County in a drought?

No. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, no part of Otoe County is in drought or abnormally dry (none of D0 to D4). That has been so for 9 weeks in a row.

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