Natural disaster risk in Dawson County, Nebraska
Nebraska · population 24,096 · FIPS 31047
Overall: relatively low risk
Dawson County has a composite risk score of 65.3 out of 100 — higher than 65% of US counties. It ranks 8 of 93 in Nebraska (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are hail, drought, strong wind.
Drought now: Yes: D2 Severe Drought, 33 weeks
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 22.23% of Dawson County is in D2 Severe Drought. Some of it has been at D2 or worse for 33 weeks in a row. In all, 35.32% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).
Drought in Dawson County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Relatively low 65.3 |
| Expected annual loss About $23.4 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Relatively low 65.7 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Relatively moderate 42.7 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Very low 9.4 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Dawson County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Hail | Relatively high 98 |
| Drought | Relatively high 94 |
| Strong wind | Relatively high 94 |
| Winter weather | Relatively high 91 |
| Tornado | Relatively moderate 72 |
| Wildfire | Relatively low 65 |
| Ice storm | Relatively low 58 |
| Lightning | Relatively low 49 |
| Heat wave | Relatively low 47 |
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Relatively low 43 |
| Earthquake | Very low 29 |
| Cold wave | Very low 18 |
| Landslide | Very low 18 |
| Avalanche | Not applicable |
| Coastal flooding | Not applicable |
| Hurricane | Not applicable |
| Tsunami | Not applicable |
| Volcanic activity | Not applicable |
FEMA disaster declarations for Dawson County
Federal declarations that designated Dawson County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
Yes. Dawson County has been named in 2 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is FM-5623-NE (Morrill-Cottonwood Fire), declared 13 Mar 2026.
| Declaration | Kind | Incident | Declared | Individual assistance here |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FM-5623-NE | Fire management | Morrill-Cottonwood Fire | 13 Mar 2026 | No |
| DR-4822-NE | Major disaster | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding | 24 Sep 2024 | No |
All FEMA declarations in Nebraska, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Dawson County, Nebraska?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Dawson County as relatively low, with a score of 65.3 out of 100 (higher than 65% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in Dawson County?
The hazards rated highest for Dawson County are hail (relatively high), drought (relatively high), strong wind (relatively high).
What is the flood risk in Dawson County?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Dawson County as relatively low. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has Dawson County had a FEMA disaster declaration?
Yes. Dawson County has been named in 2 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is FM-5623-NE (Morrill-Cottonwood Fire), declared 13 Mar 2026.
Is Dawson County in a drought?
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 22.23% of Dawson County is in D2 Severe Drought. Some of it has been at D2 or worse for 33 weeks in a row. In all, 35.32% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).
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