Natural disaster risk in Randolph County, Missouri
Missouri · population 24,642 · FIPS 29175
Overall: very low risk
Randolph County has a composite risk score of 35.8 out of 100 — higher than 35% of US counties. It ranks 75 of 115 in Missouri (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are tornado, cold wave, heat wave.
Drought now: No, but abnormally dry (D0)
No drought, but abnormally dry. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 42.26% of Randolph County is D0 Abnormally Dry and none of it is in drought (D1 to D4). Some of it has been abnormally dry or worse for 14 weeks in a row.
Drought in Randolph County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Very low 35.8 |
| Expected annual loss About $12.4 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Very low 43.5 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Relatively low 27.8 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Relatively moderate 59.8 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Randolph County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Tornado | Relatively moderate 67 |
| Cold wave | Relatively moderate 66 |
| Heat wave | Relatively low 78 |
| Landslide | Relatively low 69 |
| Earthquake | Relatively low 60 |
| Lightning | Relatively low 47 |
| Drought | Relatively low 44 |
| Hail | Relatively low 38 |
| Ice storm | Relatively low 37 |
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Relatively low 37 |
| Strong wind | Relatively low 36 |
| Wildfire | Very low 38 |
| Hurricane | Very low 14 |
| Winter weather | Very low 12 |
| Avalanche | Not applicable |
| Coastal flooding | Not applicable |
| Tsunami | Not applicable |
| Volcanic activity | Not applicable |
FEMA disaster declarations for Randolph County
Federal declarations that designated Randolph County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
Yes. Randolph County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4924-MO (Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding), declared 30 Jun 2026.
| Declaration | Kind | Incident | Declared | Individual assistance here |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DR-4924-MO | Major disaster | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding | 30 Jun 2026 | No |
All FEMA declarations in Missouri, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Randolph County, Missouri?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Randolph County as very low, with a score of 35.8 out of 100 (higher than 35% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in Randolph County?
The hazards rated highest for Randolph County are tornado (relatively moderate), cold wave (relatively moderate), heat wave (relatively low).
What is the flood risk in Randolph County?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Randolph County as relatively low. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has Randolph County had a FEMA disaster declaration?
Yes. Randolph County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4924-MO (Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding), declared 30 Jun 2026.
Is Randolph County in a drought?
No drought, but abnormally dry. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 42.26% of Randolph County is D0 Abnormally Dry and none of it is in drought (D1 to D4). Some of it has been abnormally dry or worse for 14 weeks in a row.
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