Natural disaster risk in Forrest County, Mississippi
Mississippi · population 78,050 · FIPS 28035
Overall: relatively low risk
Forrest County has a composite risk score of 78.1 out of 100 — higher than 78% of US counties. It ranks 15 of 82 in Mississippi (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are tornado, strong wind, lightning.
Drought now: Yes: D2 Severe Drought, 6 weeks
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 73.64% of Forrest County is in D2 Severe Drought. Some of it has been at D2 or worse for 6 weeks in a row. In all, 97.24% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).
Drought in Forrest County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Relatively low 78.1 |
| Expected annual loss About $33.3 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Relatively low 75.3 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Relatively moderate 59.8 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Relatively high 67.7 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Forrest County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Tornado | Relatively high 92 |
| Strong wind | Relatively high 91 |
| Lightning | Relatively high 90 |
| Hurricane | Relatively moderate 90 |
| Heat wave | Relatively moderate 83 |
| Hail | Relatively moderate 77 |
| Ice storm | Relatively moderate 62 |
| Winter weather | Relatively moderate 61 |
| Wildfire | Relatively low 81 |
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Relatively low 69 |
| Earthquake | Relatively low 68 |
| Cold wave | Relatively low 43 |
| Drought | Relatively low 42 |
| Landslide | Very low 51 |
| Avalanche | Not applicable |
| Coastal flooding | Not applicable |
| Tsunami | Not applicable |
| Volcanic activity | Not applicable |
FEMA disaster declarations for Forrest County
Federal declarations that designated Forrest County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
Yes. Forrest County has been named in 2 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4899-MS (Severe Winter Storm), declared 6 Feb 2026.
| Declaration | Kind | Incident | Declared | Individual assistance here |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DR-4899-MS | Major disaster | Severe Winter Storm | 6 Feb 2026 | No |
| EM-3640-MS | Emergency | Severe Winter Storm | 24 Jan 2026 | No |
All FEMA declarations in Mississippi, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Forrest County, Mississippi?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Forrest County as relatively low, with a score of 78.1 out of 100 (higher than 78% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in Forrest County?
The hazards rated highest for Forrest County are tornado (relatively high), strong wind (relatively high), lightning (relatively high).
What is the flood risk in Forrest County?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Forrest County as relatively low. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has Forrest County had a FEMA disaster declaration?
Yes. Forrest County has been named in 2 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4899-MS (Severe Winter Storm), declared 6 Feb 2026.
Is Forrest County in a drought?
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 73.64% of Forrest County is in D2 Severe Drought. Some of it has been at D2 or worse for 6 weeks in a row. In all, 97.24% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).
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