Natural disaster risk in Rice County, Minnesota

Minnesota · population 67,082 · FIPS 27131

Overall: relatively low risk

Rice County has a composite risk score of 75.4 out of 100 — higher than 75% of US counties. It ranks 13 of 87 in Minnesota (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are strong wind, hail, tornado.

Drought now: Yes: D1 Moderate Drought, 12 weeks

Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 24.37% of Rice County is in D1 Moderate Drought. Some of it has been at D1 or worse for 12 weeks in a row.

Drought in Rice County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu

The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.

Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience

MeasureRating and score
Overall risk
Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience.
Relatively low 75.4
Expected annual loss
About $36.7 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards.
Relatively low 77.7
Social vulnerability
Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover.
Relatively low 33.2
Community resilience
Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover.
Very high 91.1

Risk by hazard

FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Rice County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.

HazardRisk rating and score
Strong wind Relatively high 96
Hail Relatively high 94
Tornado Relatively moderate 89
Cold wave Relatively moderate 79
Inland (riverine) flooding Relatively moderate 77
Winter weather Relatively moderate 73
Landslide Relatively low 69
Drought Relatively low 52
Ice storm Relatively low 52
Heat wave Relatively low 51
Lightning Relatively low 42
Wildfire Very low 33
Earthquake Very low 12
Avalanche Not applicable
Coastal flooding Not applicable
Hurricane Not applicable
Tsunami Not applicable
Volcanic activity Not applicable

FEMA disaster declarations for Rice County

Federal declarations that designated Rice County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.

Yes. Rice County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4797-MN (Severe Storms and Flooding), declared 28 Jun 2024.

DeclarationKindIncidentDeclaredIndividual assistance here
DR-4797-MN Major disaster Severe Storms and Flooding 28 Jun 2024 Yes

All FEMA declarations in Minnesota, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.

How to read these ratings

  • Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
  • Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
  • Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
  • Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
  • Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
  • Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
  • "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).

About this data

Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.

Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Rice County, Minnesota?

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Rice County as relatively low, with a score of 75.4 out of 100 (higher than 75% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.

What are the biggest natural hazards in Rice County?

The hazards rated highest for Rice County are strong wind (relatively high), hail (relatively high), tornado (relatively moderate).

What is the flood risk in Rice County?

FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Rice County as relatively moderate. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.

Has Rice County had a FEMA disaster declaration?

Yes. Rice County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4797-MN (Severe Storms and Flooding), declared 28 Jun 2024.

Is Rice County in a drought?

Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 24.37% of Rice County is in D1 Moderate Drought. Some of it has been at D1 or worse for 12 weeks in a row.

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