Natural disaster risk in Lake County, Minnesota

Minnesota · population 10,884 · FIPS 27075

Overall: very low risk

Lake County has a composite risk score of 33.9 out of 100 — higher than 33% of US counties. It ranks 52 of 87 in Minnesota (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are strong wind, winter weather, cold wave.

Drought now: Yes: D2 Severe Drought, 13 weeks

Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 47.57% of Lake County is in D2 Severe Drought. Some of it has been at D2 or worse for 13 weeks in a row. In all, 100% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).

Drought in Lake County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu

The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.

Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience

MeasureRating and score
Overall risk
Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience.
Very low 33.9
Expected annual loss
About $10.8 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards.
Very low 38.1
Social vulnerability
Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover.
Relatively moderate 43.5
Community resilience
Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover.
Very high 98.5

Risk by hazard

FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Lake County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.

HazardRisk rating and score
Strong wind Relatively high 89
Winter weather Relatively moderate 83
Cold wave Relatively moderate 82
Lightning Relatively moderate 70
Wildfire Very low 62
Landslide Very low 34
Inland (riverine) flooding Very low 29
Ice storm Very low 23
Heat wave Very low 21
Hail Very low 20
Drought Very low 18
Coastal flooding Very low 13
Tornado Very low 10
Avalanche Not applicable
Earthquake No rating
Hurricane Not applicable
Tsunami Insufficient data
Volcanic activity Not applicable

FEMA disaster declarations for Lake County

Federal declarations that designated Lake County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.

Yes. Lake County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4797-MN (Severe Storms and Flooding), declared 28 Jun 2024.

DeclarationKindIncidentDeclaredIndividual assistance here
DR-4797-MN Major disaster Severe Storms and Flooding 28 Jun 2024 Yes

All FEMA declarations in Minnesota, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.

How to read these ratings

  • Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
  • Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
  • Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
  • Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
  • Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
  • Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
  • "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).

About this data

Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.

Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Lake County, Minnesota?

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Lake County as very low, with a score of 33.9 out of 100 (higher than 33% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.

What are the biggest natural hazards in Lake County?

The hazards rated highest for Lake County are strong wind (relatively high), winter weather (relatively moderate), cold wave (relatively moderate).

What is the flood risk in Lake County?

FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Lake County as very low, and coastal flooding risk as very low. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.

Has Lake County had a FEMA disaster declaration?

Yes. Lake County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4797-MN (Severe Storms and Flooding), declared 28 Jun 2024.

Is Lake County in a drought?

Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 47.57% of Lake County is in D2 Severe Drought. Some of it has been at D2 or worse for 13 weeks in a row. In all, 100% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).

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