Natural disaster risk in Spencer County, Kentucky

Kentucky · population 19,456 · FIPS 21215

Overall: very low risk

Spencer County has a composite risk score of 13.3 out of 100 — higher than 13% of US counties. It ranks 111 of 120 in Kentucky (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are tornado, strong wind, lightning.

Drought now: No, but abnormally dry (D0)

No drought, but abnormally dry. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 38.27% of Spencer County is D0 Abnormally Dry and none of it is in drought (D1 to D4). Some of it has been abnormally dry or worse for 1 week so far.

Drought in Spencer County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu

The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.

Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience

MeasureRating and score
Overall risk
Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience.
Very low 13.3
Expected annual loss
About $9.3 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards.
Very low 32.1
Social vulnerability
Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover.
Very low 10.6
Community resilience
Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover.
Very high 92.3

Risk by hazard

FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Spencer County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.

HazardRisk rating and score
Tornado Relatively low 56
Strong wind Relatively low 49
Lightning Relatively low 35
Ice storm Relatively low 31
Cold wave Relatively low 27
Winter weather Relatively low 26
Earthquake Very low 39
Landslide Very low 39
Inland (riverine) flooding Very low 22
Heat wave Very low 21
Drought Very low 20
Hail Very low 10
Wildfire Very low 9
Hurricane Very low 7
Avalanche Not applicable
Coastal flooding Not applicable
Tsunami Not applicable
Volcanic activity Not applicable

FEMA disaster declarations for Spencer County

Federal declarations that designated Spencer County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.

Yes. Spencer County has been named in 7 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4937-KY (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides), declared 1 Sep 2026.

DeclarationKindIncidentDeclaredIndividual assistance here
DR-4937-KY Major disaster Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides 1 Sep 2026 No
EM-3633-KY Emergency Severe Winter Storm 24 Jan 2026 No
DR-4875-KY Major disaster Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes 23 May 2025 No
DR-4864-KY Major disaster Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides 24 Apr 2025 No
EM-3626-KY Emergency Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding 3 Apr 2025 No
DR-4860-KY Major disaster Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides 24 Feb 2025 No
EM-3624-KY Emergency Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, and Landslides 16 Feb 2025 No

All FEMA declarations in Kentucky, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.

How to read these ratings

  • Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
  • Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
  • Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
  • Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
  • Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
  • Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
  • "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).

About this data

Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.

Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Spencer County, Kentucky?

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Spencer County as very low, with a score of 13.3 out of 100 (higher than 13% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.

What are the biggest natural hazards in Spencer County?

The hazards rated highest for Spencer County are tornado (relatively low), strong wind (relatively low), lightning (relatively low).

What is the flood risk in Spencer County?

FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Spencer County as very low. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.

Has Spencer County had a FEMA disaster declaration?

Yes. Spencer County has been named in 7 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4937-KY (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides), declared 1 Sep 2026.

Is Spencer County in a drought?

No drought, but abnormally dry. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 38.27% of Spencer County is D0 Abnormally Dry and none of it is in drought (D1 to D4). Some of it has been abnormally dry or worse for 1 week so far.

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