Natural disaster risk in Pawnee County, Kansas
Kansas · population 6,253 · FIPS 20145
Overall: very low risk
Pawnee County has a composite risk score of 31.6 out of 100 — higher than 31% of US counties. It ranks 41 of 105 in Kansas (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are drought, hail, cold wave.
Drought now: Yes: D2 Severe Drought, 9 weeks
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 16.38% of Pawnee County is in D2 Severe Drought. Some of it has been at D2 or worse for 9 weeks in a row. In all, 33.24% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).
Drought in Pawnee County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Very low 31.6 |
| Expected annual loss About $10.7 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Very low 37.7 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Relatively low 34 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Very high 86.4 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Pawnee County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Drought | Relatively high 90 |
| Hail | Relatively moderate 90 |
| Cold wave | Relatively moderate 66 |
| Ice storm | Relatively moderate 63 |
| Tornado | Relatively low 55 |
| Strong wind | Relatively low 47 |
| Winter weather | Relatively low 34 |
| Wildfire | Very low 55 |
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Very low 20 |
| Earthquake | Very low 19 |
| Heat wave | Very low 14 |
| Lightning | Very low 9 |
| Landslide | Very low 4 |
| Avalanche | Not applicable |
| Coastal flooding | Not applicable |
| Hurricane | No rating |
| Tsunami | Not applicable |
| Volcanic activity | Not applicable |
FEMA disaster declarations for Pawnee County
Federal declarations that designated Pawnee County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
Yes. Pawnee County has been named in 5 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4940-KS (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding), declared 1 Sep 2026.
| Declaration | Kind | Incident | Declared | Individual assistance here |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DR-4940-KS | Major disaster | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding | 1 Sep 2026 | No |
| DR-4869-KS | Major disaster | Severe Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, and Wildfires | 21 May 2025 | No |
| DR-4824-KS | Major disaster | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding | 24 Sep 2024 | No |
| DR-4811-KS | Major disaster | Severe Storm, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding | 20 Aug 2024 | No |
| DR-4774-KS | Major disaster | Severe Winter Storm | 28 Apr 2024 | No |
All FEMA declarations in Kansas, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Pawnee County, Kansas?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Pawnee County as very low, with a score of 31.6 out of 100 (higher than 31% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in Pawnee County?
The hazards rated highest for Pawnee County are drought (relatively high), hail (relatively moderate), cold wave (relatively moderate).
What is the flood risk in Pawnee County?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Pawnee County as very low. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has Pawnee County had a FEMA disaster declaration?
Yes. Pawnee County has been named in 5 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4940-KS (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding), declared 1 Sep 2026.
Is Pawnee County in a drought?
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 16.38% of Pawnee County is in D2 Severe Drought. Some of it has been at D2 or worse for 9 weeks in a row. In all, 33.24% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).
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