Natural disaster risk in Buena Vista County, Iowa
Iowa · population 20,823 · FIPS 19021
Overall: very low risk
Buena Vista County has a composite risk score of 39.3 out of 100 — higher than 39% of US counties. It ranks 41 of 99 in Iowa (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are hail, winter weather, drought.
Drought now: No: no drought or dryness
No. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, no part of Buena Vista County is in drought or abnormally dry (none of D0 to D4). That has been so for 3 weeks in a row.
Drought in Buena Vista County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Very low 39.3 |
| Expected annual loss About $12.0 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Very low 42.3 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Relatively moderate 40.6 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Relatively moderate 53.2 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Buena Vista County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Hail | Relatively moderate 91 |
| Winter weather | Relatively moderate 76 |
| Drought | Relatively moderate 74 |
| Tornado | Relatively moderate 73 |
| Strong wind | Relatively moderate 62 |
| Cold wave | Relatively low 61 |
| Ice storm | Relatively low 50 |
| Landslide | Very low 40 |
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Very low 32 |
| Heat wave | Very low 26 |
| Earthquake | Very low 19 |
| Lightning | Very low 19 |
| Wildfire | Very low 17 |
| Avalanche | Not applicable |
| Coastal flooding | Not applicable |
| Hurricane | Not applicable |
| Tsunami | Not applicable |
| Volcanic activity | Not applicable |
FEMA disaster declarations for Buena Vista County
Federal declarations that designated Buena Vista County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
Yes. Buena Vista County has been named in 2 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4796-IA (Severe Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes), declared 24 Jun 2024.
| Declaration | Kind | Incident | Declared | Individual assistance here |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DR-4796-IA | Major disaster | Severe Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes | 24 Jun 2024 | Yes |
| DR-4784-IA | Major disaster | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding | 24 May 2024 | No |
All FEMA declarations in Iowa, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Buena Vista County, Iowa?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Buena Vista County as very low, with a score of 39.3 out of 100 (higher than 39% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in Buena Vista County?
The hazards rated highest for Buena Vista County are hail (relatively moderate), winter weather (relatively moderate), drought (relatively moderate).
What is the flood risk in Buena Vista County?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Buena Vista County as very low. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has Buena Vista County had a FEMA disaster declaration?
Yes. Buena Vista County has been named in 2 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is DR-4796-IA (Severe Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes), declared 24 Jun 2024.
Is Buena Vista County in a drought?
No. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, no part of Buena Vista County is in drought or abnormally dry (none of D0 to D4). That has been so for 3 weeks in a row.
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