Natural disaster risk in Rock Island County, Illinois
Illinois · population 144,591 · FIPS 17161
Overall: relatively moderate risk
Rock Island County has a composite risk score of 84.1 out of 100 — higher than 84% of US counties. It ranks 19 of 102 in Illinois (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are cold wave, strong wind, tornado.
Drought now: No: no drought or dryness
No. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, no part of Rock Island County is in drought or abnormally dry (none of D0 to D4). That has been so for 11 weeks in a row.
Drought in Rock Island County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Relatively moderate 84.1 |
| Expected annual loss About $45.4 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Relatively low 82.1 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Relatively high 60.2 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Very high 87.2 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Rock Island County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Cold wave | Relatively high 95 |
| Strong wind | Relatively high 94 |
| Tornado | Relatively high 90 |
| Winter weather | Relatively high 90 |
| Lightning | Relatively high 89 |
| Heat wave | Relatively moderate 93 |
| Hail | Relatively moderate 91 |
| Ice storm | Relatively moderate 80 |
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Relatively moderate 79 |
| Drought | Relatively moderate 70 |
| Landslide | Relatively low 83 |
| Earthquake | Relatively low 62 |
| Hurricane | Very low 13 |
| Wildfire | Very low 8 |
| Avalanche | Not applicable |
| Coastal flooding | Not applicable |
| Tsunami | Not applicable |
| Volcanic activity | Not applicable |
FEMA disaster declarations for Rock Island County
Federal declarations that designated Rock Island County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
Not since 1 Jan 2024: no FEMA disaster declaration in the records this site read names Rock Island County.
All FEMA declarations in Illinois, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Rock Island County, Illinois?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Rock Island County as relatively moderate, with a score of 84.1 out of 100 (higher than 84% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in Rock Island County?
The hazards rated highest for Rock Island County are cold wave (relatively high), strong wind (relatively high), tornado (relatively high).
What is the flood risk in Rock Island County?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Rock Island County as relatively moderate. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has Rock Island County had a FEMA disaster declaration?
Not since 1 Jan 2024: no FEMA disaster declaration in the records this site read names Rock Island County.
Is Rock Island County in a drought?
No. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, no part of Rock Island County is in drought or abnormally dry (none of D0 to D4). That has been so for 11 weeks in a row.
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