Natural disaster risk in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Connecticut
Connecticut · population 450,296 · FIPS 09140
Overall: relatively moderate risk
Naugatuck Valley Planning Region has a composite risk score of 93.2 out of 100 — higher than 93% of US counties. It ranks 4 of 9 in Connecticut (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are inland (riverine) flooding, hurricane, ice storm.
Drought now: No: no drought or dryness
No. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, no part of Naugatuck Valley Planning Region is in drought or abnormally dry (none of D0 to D4). That has been so for 7 weeks in a row.
Drought in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Relatively moderate 93.2 |
| Expected annual loss About $139.9 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Relatively moderate 93.7 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Relatively low 35.7 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Relatively high 77.2 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Relatively high 96 |
| Hurricane | Relatively high 95 |
| Ice storm | Relatively high 94 |
| Strong wind | Relatively high 89 |
| Winter weather | Relatively high 88 |
| Lightning | Relatively high 86 |
| Heat wave | Relatively moderate 80 |
| Tornado | Relatively moderate 73 |
| Cold wave | Relatively moderate 72 |
| Earthquake | Relatively low 86 |
| Landslide | Relatively low 86 |
| Hail | Relatively low 54 |
| Drought | Relatively low 50 |
| Wildfire | Very low 47 |
| Coastal flooding | Very low 42 |
| Avalanche | Not applicable |
| Tsunami | Insufficient data |
| Volcanic activity | Not applicable |
FEMA disaster declarations for Naugatuck Valley Planning Region
Federal declarations that designated Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
This page cannot match Naugatuck Valley Planning Region to FEMA's records: FEMA designates Connecticut's former counties, while the Risk Index uses its planning regions. Every Connecticut declaration is on this site's FEMA declarations page for the state.
All FEMA declarations in Connecticut, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Connecticut?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region as relatively moderate, with a score of 93.2 out of 100 (higher than 93% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region?
The hazards rated highest for Naugatuck Valley Planning Region are inland (riverine) flooding (relatively high), hurricane (relatively high), ice storm (relatively high).
What is the flood risk in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region as relatively high, and coastal flooding risk as very low. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has Naugatuck Valley Planning Region had a FEMA disaster declaration?
This page cannot match Naugatuck Valley Planning Region to FEMA's records: FEMA designates Connecticut's former counties, while the Risk Index uses its planning regions. Every Connecticut declaration is on this site's FEMA declarations page for the state.
Is Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in a drought?
No. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, no part of Naugatuck Valley Planning Region is in drought or abnormally dry (none of D0 to D4). That has been so for 7 weeks in a row.
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