Natural disaster risk in Rio Grande County, Colorado

Colorado · population 11,498 · FIPS 08105

Overall: relatively low risk

Rio Grande County has a composite risk score of 45.8 out of 100 — higher than 45% of US counties. It ranks 28 of 64 in Colorado (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are drought, avalanche, lightning.

Drought now: Yes: D3 Extreme Drought, 30 weeks

Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 1.38% of Rio Grande County is in D3 Extreme Drought. Some of it has been at D3 or worse for 30 weeks in a row. In all, 100% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).

Drought in Rio Grande County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu

The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.

Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience

MeasureRating and score
Overall risk
Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience.
Relatively low 45.8
Expected annual loss
About $8.9 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards.
Very low 30.3
Social vulnerability
Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover.
Very high 91.5
Community resilience
Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover.
Very low 7.4

Risk by hazard

FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Rio Grande County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.

HazardRisk rating and score
Drought Relatively high 92
Avalanche Relatively high 88
Lightning Relatively high 83
Landslide Relatively moderate 93
Earthquake Relatively low 68
Wildfire Relatively low 63
Cold wave Relatively low 55
Inland (riverine) flooding Relatively low 54
Winter weather Relatively low 43
Hail Very low 18
Heat wave Very low 15
Ice storm Very low 13
Tornado Very low 13
Strong wind Very low 2
Coastal flooding Not applicable
Hurricane Not applicable
Tsunami Not applicable
Volcanic activity Not applicable

FEMA disaster declarations for Rio Grande County

Federal declarations that designated Rio Grande County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.

Not since 1 Jan 2024: no FEMA disaster declaration in the records this site read names Rio Grande County.

All FEMA declarations in Colorado, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.

How to read these ratings

  • Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
  • Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
  • Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
  • Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
  • Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
  • Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
  • "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).

About this data

Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.

Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Rio Grande County, Colorado?

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Rio Grande County as relatively low, with a score of 45.8 out of 100 (higher than 45% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.

What are the biggest natural hazards in Rio Grande County?

The hazards rated highest for Rio Grande County are drought (relatively high), avalanche (relatively high), lightning (relatively high).

What is the flood risk in Rio Grande County?

FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Rio Grande County as relatively low. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.

Has Rio Grande County had a FEMA disaster declaration?

Not since 1 Jan 2024: no FEMA disaster declaration in the records this site read names Rio Grande County.

Is Rio Grande County in a drought?

Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 1.38% of Rio Grande County is in D3 Extreme Drought. Some of it has been at D3 or worse for 30 weeks in a row. In all, 100% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).

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