Natural disaster risk in Jefferson County, Colorado
Colorado · population 582,825 · FIPS 08059
Overall: relatively high risk
Jefferson County has a composite risk score of 94.9 out of 100 — higher than 94% of US counties. It ranks 2 of 64 in Colorado (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are hail, lightning, winter weather.
Drought now: Yes: D4 Exceptional Drought, 4 weeks
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 2.03% of Jefferson County is in D4 Exceptional Drought. Some of it has been at D4 for 4 weeks in a row. In all, 100% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).
Drought in Jefferson County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Relatively high 94.9 |
| Expected annual loss About $231.4 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Relatively high 96.5 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Very low 11.4 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Relatively high 66.9 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Jefferson County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Hail | Very high 99 |
| Lightning | Very high 99 |
| Winter weather | Very high 97 |
| Wildfire | Relatively high 99 |
| Tornado | Relatively high 96 |
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Relatively high 93 |
| Strong wind | Relatively high 92 |
| Landslide | Relatively moderate 97 |
| Cold wave | Relatively moderate 73 |
| Ice storm | Relatively moderate 71 |
| Earthquake | Relatively low 84 |
| Avalanche | Relatively low 77 |
| Heat wave | Relatively low 71 |
| Volcanic activity | Very low 71 |
| Drought | Very low 27 |
| Coastal flooding | Not applicable |
| Hurricane | Not applicable |
| Tsunami | Not applicable |
FEMA disaster declarations for Jefferson County
Federal declarations that designated Jefferson County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
Yes. Jefferson County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is FM-5526-CO (Quarry Fire), declared 1 Aug 2024.
| Declaration | Kind | Incident | Declared | Individual assistance here |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FM-5526-CO | Fire management | Quarry Fire | 1 Aug 2024 | No |
All FEMA declarations in Colorado, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Jefferson County, Colorado?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Jefferson County as relatively high, with a score of 94.9 out of 100 (higher than 94% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in Jefferson County?
The hazards rated highest for Jefferson County are hail (very high), lightning (very high), winter weather (very high).
What is the flood risk in Jefferson County?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Jefferson County as relatively high. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has Jefferson County had a FEMA disaster declaration?
Yes. Jefferson County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is FM-5526-CO (Quarry Fire), declared 1 Aug 2024.
Is Jefferson County in a drought?
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 2.03% of Jefferson County is in D4 Exceptional Drought. Some of it has been at D4 for 4 weeks in a row. In all, 100% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).
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