Natural disaster risk in Grand County, Colorado
Colorado · population 15,695 · FIPS 08049
Overall: relatively low risk
Grand County has a composite risk score of 50.2 out of 100 — higher than 50% of US counties. It ranks 23 of 64 in Colorado (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are avalanche, landslide, lightning.
Drought now: Yes: D4 Exceptional Drought, 30 weeks
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 53.8% of Grand County is in D4 Exceptional Drought. Some of it has been at D4 for 30 weeks in a row. In all, 100% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).
Drought in Grand County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Relatively low 50.2 |
| Expected annual loss About $20.3 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Relatively low 61 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Very low 15 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Relatively moderate 55.6 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Grand County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Avalanche | Very high 95 |
| Landslide | Relatively moderate 93 |
| Lightning | Relatively moderate 81 |
| Hail | Relatively moderate 75 |
| Wildfire | Relatively low 78 |
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Relatively low 62 |
| Winter weather | Relatively low 31 |
| Earthquake | Very low 46 |
| Volcanic activity | Very low 32 |
| Drought | Very low 26 |
| Tornado | Very low 26 |
| Ice storm | Very low 15 |
| Strong wind | Very low 15 |
| Cold wave | Very low 3 |
| Coastal flooding | Not applicable |
| Heat wave | No rating |
| Hurricane | Not applicable |
| Tsunami | Not applicable |
FEMA disaster declarations for Grand County
Federal declarations that designated Grand County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
Not since 1 Jan 2024: no FEMA disaster declaration in the records this site read names Grand County.
All FEMA declarations in Colorado, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Grand County, Colorado?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Grand County as relatively low, with a score of 50.2 out of 100 (higher than 50% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in Grand County?
The hazards rated highest for Grand County are avalanche (very high), landslide (relatively moderate), lightning (relatively moderate).
What is the flood risk in Grand County?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Grand County as relatively low. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has Grand County had a FEMA disaster declaration?
Not since 1 Jan 2024: no FEMA disaster declaration in the records this site read names Grand County.
Is Grand County in a drought?
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 53.8% of Grand County is in D4 Exceptional Drought. Some of it has been at D4 for 30 weeks in a row. In all, 100% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).
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