Natural disaster risk in Conejos County, Colorado
Colorado · population 7,453 · FIPS 08021
Overall: very low risk
Conejos County has a composite risk score of 22.9 out of 100 — higher than 22% of US counties. It ranks 42 of 64 in Colorado (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are avalanche, drought, landslide.
Drought now: Yes: D2 Severe Drought, 31 weeks
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 88.64% of Conejos County is in D2 Severe Drought. Some of it has been at D2 or worse for 31 weeks in a row. In all, 100% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).
Drought in Conejos County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Very low 22.9 |
| Expected annual loss About $5.2 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Very low 13.9 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Very high 83.8 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Very low 4.5 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Conejos County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Avalanche | Relatively high 88 |
| Drought | Relatively moderate 75 |
| Landslide | Relatively low 67 |
| Cold wave | Relatively low 54 |
| Lightning | Relatively low 39 |
| Winter weather | Relatively low 27 |
| Wildfire | Very low 58 |
| Earthquake | Very low 46 |
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Very low 33 |
| Hail | Very low 11 |
| Heat wave | Very low 9 |
| Tornado | Very low 9 |
| Ice storm | Very low 7 |
| Strong wind | Very low 1 |
| Coastal flooding | Not applicable |
| Hurricane | Not applicable |
| Tsunami | Not applicable |
| Volcanic activity | No rating |
FEMA disaster declarations for Conejos County
Federal declarations that designated Conejos County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
Not since 1 Jan 2024: no FEMA disaster declaration in the records this site read names Conejos County.
All FEMA declarations in Colorado, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Conejos County, Colorado?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Conejos County as very low, with a score of 22.9 out of 100 (higher than 22% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in Conejos County?
The hazards rated highest for Conejos County are avalanche (relatively high), drought (relatively moderate), landslide (relatively low).
What is the flood risk in Conejos County?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Conejos County as very low. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has Conejos County had a FEMA disaster declaration?
Not since 1 Jan 2024: no FEMA disaster declaration in the records this site read names Conejos County.
Is Conejos County in a drought?
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 88.64% of Conejos County is in D2 Severe Drought. Some of it has been at D2 or worse for 31 weeks in a row. In all, 100% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).
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