Natural disaster risk in Lake County, California

California · population 68,074 · FIPS 06033

Overall: relatively moderate risk

Lake County has a composite risk score of 93.0 out of 100 — higher than 93% of US counties. It ranks 35 of 58 in California (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are wildfire, landslide, drought.

Drought now: No, but abnormally dry (D0)

No drought, but abnormally dry. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 95.31% of Lake County is D0 Abnormally Dry and none of it is in drought (D1 to D4). Some of it has been abnormally dry or worse for 29 weeks in a row.

Drought in Lake County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu

The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.

Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience

MeasureRating and score
Overall risk
Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience.
Relatively moderate 93
Expected annual loss
About $101.0 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards.
Relatively moderate 90.7
Social vulnerability
Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover.
Relatively high 70.6
Community resilience
Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover.
Relatively low 24.5

Risk by hazard

FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Lake County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.

HazardRisk rating and score
Wildfire Relatively high 99
Landslide Relatively high 98
Drought Relatively high 95
Inland (riverine) flooding Relatively high 94
Avalanche Relatively high 89
Earthquake Relatively moderate 97
Volcanic activity Relatively moderate 96
Heat wave Relatively low 52
Winter weather Relatively low 26
Lightning Very low 22
Tornado Very low 10
Hail Very low 3
Strong wind Very low 1
Coastal flooding Not applicable
Cold wave No rating
Hurricane Not applicable
Ice storm Not applicable
Tsunami Not applicable

FEMA disaster declarations for Lake County

Federal declarations that designated Lake County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.

Yes. Lake County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is FM-5536-CA (Boyles Fire), declared 8 Sep 2024.

DeclarationKindIncidentDeclaredIndividual assistance here
FM-5536-CA Fire management Boyles Fire 8 Sep 2024 No

All FEMA declarations in California, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.

How to read these ratings

  • Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
  • Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
  • Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
  • Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
  • Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
  • Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
  • "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).

About this data

Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.

Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Lake County, California?

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Lake County as relatively moderate, with a score of 93.0 out of 100 (higher than 93% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.

What are the biggest natural hazards in Lake County?

The hazards rated highest for Lake County are wildfire (relatively high), landslide (relatively high), drought (relatively high).

What is the flood risk in Lake County?

FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Lake County as relatively high. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.

Has Lake County had a FEMA disaster declaration?

Yes. Lake County has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is FM-5536-CA (Boyles Fire), declared 8 Sep 2024.

Is Lake County in a drought?

No drought, but abnormally dry. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 95.31% of Lake County is D0 Abnormally Dry and none of it is in drought (D1 to D4). Some of it has been abnormally dry or worse for 29 weeks in a row.

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