Natural disaster risk in Saline County, Arkansas
Arkansas · population 123,011 · FIPS 05125
Overall: relatively low risk
Saline County has a composite risk score of 77.6 out of 100 — higher than 77% of US counties. It ranks 14 of 75 in Arkansas (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are ice storm, lightning, heat wave.
Drought now: Yes: D3 Extreme Drought, 1 week
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 8.46% of Saline County is in D3 Extreme Drought. Some of it has been at D3 or worse for 1 week so far. In all, 100% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).
Drought in Saline County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Relatively low 77.6 |
| Expected annual loss About $40.8 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Relatively low 80.2 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Relatively low 29.1 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Relatively moderate 54.5 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Saline County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Ice storm | Very high 95 |
| Lightning | Relatively high 86 |
| Heat wave | Relatively moderate 92 |
| Tornado | Relatively moderate 89 |
| Hail | Relatively moderate 87 |
| Winter weather | Relatively moderate 81 |
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Relatively moderate 74 |
| Strong wind | Relatively moderate 67 |
| Earthquake | Relatively low 89 |
| Landslide | Relatively low 77 |
| Cold wave | Relatively low 48 |
| Wildfire | Very low 61 |
| Hurricane | Very low 56 |
| Drought | Very low 25 |
| Avalanche | Not applicable |
| Coastal flooding | Not applicable |
| Tsunami | Not applicable |
| Volcanic activity | Not applicable |
FEMA disaster declarations for Saline County
Federal declarations that designated Saline County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
Yes. Saline County has been named in 3 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is EM-3636-AR (Severe Winter Storm), declared 24 Jan 2026.
| Declaration | Kind | Incident | Declared | Individual assistance here |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EM-3636-AR | Emergency | Severe Winter Storm | 24 Jan 2026 | No |
| DR-4873-AR | Major disaster | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding | 21 May 2025 | Yes |
| EM-3627-AR | Emergency | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding | 5 Apr 2025 | No |
All FEMA declarations in Arkansas, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Saline County, Arkansas?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Saline County as relatively low, with a score of 77.6 out of 100 (higher than 77% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in Saline County?
The hazards rated highest for Saline County are ice storm (very high), lightning (relatively high), heat wave (relatively moderate).
What is the flood risk in Saline County?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Saline County as relatively moderate. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has Saline County had a FEMA disaster declaration?
Yes. Saline County has been named in 3 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is EM-3636-AR (Severe Winter Storm), declared 24 Jan 2026.
Is Saline County in a drought?
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 8.46% of Saline County is in D3 Extreme Drought. Some of it has been at D3 or worse for 1 week so far. In all, 100% of the county is in drought (D1 to D4).
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