Natural disaster risk in Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, Alaska
Alaska · population 6,763 · FIPS 02240
Overall: relatively low risk
Southeast Fairbanks Census Area has a composite risk score of 57.0 out of 100 — higher than 57% of US counties. It ranks 9 of 30 in Alaska (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are avalanche, wildfire, cold wave.
Drought now: Yes: D1 Moderate Drought, 3 weeks
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 17.25% of Southeast Fairbanks Census Area is in D1 Moderate Drought. Some of it has been at D1 or worse for 3 weeks in a row.
Drought in Southeast Fairbanks Census Area: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Relatively low 57 |
| Expected annual loss About $12.1 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Very low 42.4 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Very high 88.8 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Very low 5.3 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Avalanche | Relatively high 94 |
| Wildfire | Relatively moderate 97 |
| Cold wave | Relatively moderate 80 |
| Winter weather | Relatively moderate 68 |
| Earthquake | Relatively low 86 |
| Landslide | Relatively low 86 |
| Volcanic activity | Very low 42 |
| Ice storm | Very low 11 |
| Lightning | Very low 11 |
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Very low 9 |
| Hail | Very low 0 |
| Strong wind | Very low 0 |
| Tornado | Very low 0 |
| Coastal flooding | Not applicable |
| Drought | No rating |
| Heat wave | Insufficient data |
| Hurricane | Not applicable |
| Tsunami | Not applicable |
FEMA disaster declarations for Southeast Fairbanks Census Area
Federal declarations that designated Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
Yes. Southeast Fairbanks Census Area has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is FM-5672-AK (Mukluk Fire), declared 18 Aug 2026.
| Declaration | Kind | Incident | Declared | Individual assistance here |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FM-5672-AK | Fire management | Mukluk Fire | 18 Aug 2026 | No |
All FEMA declarations in Alaska, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, Alaska?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Southeast Fairbanks Census Area as relatively low, with a score of 57.0 out of 100 (higher than 57% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in Southeast Fairbanks Census Area?
The hazards rated highest for Southeast Fairbanks Census Area are avalanche (relatively high), wildfire (relatively moderate), cold wave (relatively moderate).
What is the flood risk in Southeast Fairbanks Census Area?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Southeast Fairbanks Census Area as very low. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has Southeast Fairbanks Census Area had a FEMA disaster declaration?
Yes. Southeast Fairbanks Census Area has been named in 1 FEMA declaration since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is FM-5672-AK (Mukluk Fire), declared 18 Aug 2026.
Is Southeast Fairbanks Census Area in a drought?
Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 17.25% of Southeast Fairbanks Census Area is in D1 Moderate Drought. Some of it has been at D1 or worse for 3 weeks in a row.
Every borough or census area in Alaska, ranked · All states · Disasters near me