Natural disaster risk in Kenai Peninsula Borough, Alaska
Alaska · population 58,731 · FIPS 02122
Overall: relatively moderate risk
Kenai Peninsula Borough has a composite risk score of 93.0 out of 100 — higher than 93% of US counties. It ranks 3 of 30 in Alaska (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are avalanche, earthquake, winter weather.
Drought now: No: no drought or dryness
No. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, no part of Kenai Peninsula Borough is in drought or abnormally dry (none of D0 to D4). That has been so for 13 weeks in a row.
Drought in Kenai Peninsula Borough: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience
| Measure | Rating and score |
|---|---|
| Overall risk Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience. |
Relatively moderate 93 |
| Expected annual loss About $120.5 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards. |
Relatively moderate 92.4 |
| Social vulnerability Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover. |
Relatively moderate 47.1 |
| Community resilience Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover. |
Very low 6.5 |
Risk by hazard
FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Kenai Peninsula Borough, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.
| Hazard | Risk rating and score |
|---|---|
| Avalanche | Very high 99 |
| Earthquake | Relatively high 98 |
| Winter weather | Relatively high 93 |
| Landslide | Relatively moderate 97 |
| Wildfire | Relatively moderate 97 |
| Tsunami | Relatively moderate 81 |
| Volcanic activity | Relatively low 89 |
| Inland (riverine) flooding | Relatively low 43 |
| Coastal flooding | Very low 33 |
| Ice storm | Very low 24 |
| Cold wave | Very low 14 |
| Lightning | Very low 14 |
| Drought | Very low 12 |
| Hail | Very low 2 |
| Tornado | Very low 0 |
| Heat wave | Insufficient data |
| Hurricane | Not applicable |
| Strong wind | No rating |
FEMA disaster declarations for Kenai Peninsula Borough
Federal declarations that designated Kenai Peninsula Borough, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.
Not since 1 Jan 2024: no FEMA disaster declaration in the records this site read names Kenai Peninsula Borough.
All FEMA declarations in Alaska, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.
How to read these ratings
- Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
- Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
- Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
- Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
- Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
- Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
- "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).
About this data
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.
Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Kenai Peninsula Borough, Alaska?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Kenai Peninsula Borough as relatively moderate, with a score of 93.0 out of 100 (higher than 93% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.
What are the biggest natural hazards in Kenai Peninsula Borough?
The hazards rated highest for Kenai Peninsula Borough are avalanche (very high), earthquake (relatively high), winter weather (relatively high).
What is the flood risk in Kenai Peninsula Borough?
FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Kenai Peninsula Borough as relatively low, and coastal flooding risk as very low. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.
Has Kenai Peninsula Borough had a FEMA disaster declaration?
Not since 1 Jan 2024: no FEMA disaster declaration in the records this site read names Kenai Peninsula Borough.
Is Kenai Peninsula Borough in a drought?
No. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, no part of Kenai Peninsula Borough is in drought or abnormally dry (none of D0 to D4). That has been so for 13 weeks in a row.
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