Natural disaster risk in Mobile County, Alabama

Alabama · population 414,514 · FIPS 01097

Overall: relatively high risk

Mobile County has a composite risk score of 98.0 out of 100 — higher than 98% of US counties. It ranks 1 of 67 in Alabama (1 = highest risk). Its highest-rated hazards are hurricane, lightning, inland (riverine) flooding.

Drought now: Yes: D1 Moderate Drought, 9 weeks

Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 1.42% of Mobile County is in D1 Moderate Drought. Some of it has been at D1 or worse for 9 weeks in a row.

Drought in Mobile County: the last 52 weeks · droughtmonitor.unl.edu

The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.

Risk, loss, vulnerability and resilience

MeasureRating and score
Overall risk
Expected annual loss, adjusted for social vulnerability and community resilience.
Relatively high 98
Expected annual loss
About $298.2 million a year, on average, across all 18 hazards.
Relatively high 97.6
Social vulnerability
Higher means people may find it harder to prepare and recover.
Relatively moderate 53.9
Community resilience
Higher means a stronger ability to prepare, adapt and recover.
Relatively high 79.7

Risk by hazard

FEMA's risk rating for each of 18 natural hazards in Mobile County, highest first. "Not applicable" means the hazard is not modelled here.

HazardRisk rating and score
Hurricane Very high 99
Lightning Very high 98
Inland (riverine) flooding Relatively high 95
Tornado Relatively high 94
Coastal flooding Relatively high 90
Heat wave Relatively moderate 95
Wildfire Relatively moderate 93
Drought Relatively moderate 86
Cold wave Relatively moderate 85
Hail Relatively moderate 83
Winter weather Relatively moderate 81
Ice storm Relatively moderate 80
Strong wind Relatively moderate 80
Earthquake Relatively low 84
Landslide Relatively low 72
Avalanche Not applicable
Tsunami Insufficient data
Volcanic activity Not applicable

FEMA disaster declarations for Mobile County

Federal declarations that designated Mobile County, since 1 Jan 2024 (the period this site keeps from OpenFEMA). Older declarations are in FEMA's own dataset.

Yes. Mobile County has been named in 2 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is EM-3656-AL (Hurricane Isaias), declared 9 Oct 2026.

DeclarationKindIncidentDeclaredIndividual assistance here
EM-3656-AL Emergency Hurricane Isaias 9 Oct 2026 No
EM-3618-AL Emergency Hurricane Helene 26 Sep 2024 No

All FEMA declarations in Alabama, with estimated apply-by dates · Open FEMA deadlines

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s). Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2.

How to read these ratings

  • Ratings run in five steps: very low, relatively low, relatively moderate, relatively high and very high. They compare a county with every other US county; they are not a measure of danger on their own.
  • Scores run from 0 to 100 and are national percentiles. The bar shows the score: a score of 80 means a higher value than 80% of US counties.
  • Overall risk combines the expected annual loss with social vulnerability and community resilience.
  • Expected annual loss is the average yearly loss to buildings, people and agriculture the model expects from all 18 hazards.
  • Social vulnerability describes how hard it may be for people to prepare for and recover from a disaster. Higher is worse.
  • Community resilience describes a community's ability to prepare, adapt and recover. Higher is better.
  • "Not applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard there (for example, hurricanes far inland).

About this data

Source: FEMA National Risk Index, version 1.20, released December 2025, published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (US public domain). About the National Risk Index. The index is a model of relative risk built from historical hazard records, what is exposed and community factors. It is not a forecast, it does not describe any single property, and it is not insurance or financial advice. For decisions about a specific address, check FEMA's flood maps and your local emergency management office.

Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Mobile County, Alabama?

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the overall risk in Mobile County as relatively high, with a score of 98.0 out of 100 (higher than 98% of US counties). That is a comparison with other US counties, not a forecast.

What are the biggest natural hazards in Mobile County?

The hazards rated highest for Mobile County are hurricane (very high), lightning (very high), inland (riverine) flooding (relatively high).

What is the flood risk in Mobile County?

FEMA rates inland (river and rain) flooding risk in Mobile County as relatively high, and coastal flooding risk as relatively high. For a specific property, check the FEMA flood map and your local floodplain office.

Has Mobile County had a FEMA disaster declaration?

Yes. Mobile County has been named in 2 FEMA declarations since 1 Jan 2024. The latest is EM-3656-AL (Hurricane Isaias), declared 9 Oct 2026.

Is Mobile County in a drought?

Yes. On the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid 13 October 2026, 1.42% of Mobile County is in D1 Moderate Drought. Some of it has been at D1 or worse for 9 weeks in a row.

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