Kafue river flood forecast
GloFAS reads the Kafue at 2 places, from Itezhi-Tezhi, where it drains 106,647 km², down to Kasaka, where it drains 152,315 km². It is read in Zambia. For each point, the Global Flood Awareness System gives the chance that the river will exceed the flow it normally reaches only once every 2, 5 or 20 years.
GloFAS rates the Kafue Inactive at both points GloFAS reads.
GloFAS forecasts are computer model output, published for information only. They are not a flood warning: only national and regional authorities issue flood warnings for their own area. A reporting point is a place on the model's river network, which may sit a few kilometres from the town it is named after.
Every point GloFAS reads on the Kafue
Itezhi-Tezhi, Zambia · drains 106,647 km²
No chance of exceeding even its 2-year flood flow in this forecast.
GloFAS alert level: Inactive · Peak expected: as currently ongoing · Falling
Kasaka, Zambia · drains 152,315 km²
No chance of exceeding even its 2-year flood flow in this forecast.
GloFAS alert level: Inactive · Peak expected: as currently ongoing · Falling
Reported near the Kafue in the last 30 days
- Active Fire Zone — 25 satellite detections (24h) 30 km from a point on this river · Oct 11, 2026
- Active Fire Zone — 32 satellite detections (24h) 32 km from a point on this river · Oct 10, 2026
- Active Fire Zone — 32 satellite detections (24h) 41 km from a point on this river · 2 days ago
- Active Fire Zone — 68 satellite detections (24h) 42 km from a point on this river · 7 hr ago
- Active Fire Zone — 65 satellite detections (24h) 47 km from a point on this river · 1 day ago
- Active Fire Zone — 97 satellite detections (24h) 47 km from a point on this river · 5 days ago
- Active Fire Zone — 27 satellite detections (24h) 48 km from a point on this river · 7 hr ago
- Active Fire Zone — 45 satellite detections (24h) 48 km from a point on this river · 2 days ago
Distance is to the nearest point GloFAS reads on this river, not to the river itself. An event near the river is not necessarily a river flood.
What a 2-, 5- or 20-year flood flow is
It is the river flow that, at that point, is reached or exceeded on average once every 2, 5 or 20 years. A 2-year flow typically fills the channel to its banks; a 5-year or 20-year flow goes further. It measures how unusual the flow is, not what it will damage — the same flow can flood a town that has no defences and pass one that does. And "once in 20 years" is an average: two can come in a row.
Contains modified Copernicus Emergency Management Service information 2026 — the Global Flood Awareness System (GloFAS). GloFAS.