Elbe river flood forecast

GloFAS reads the Elbe at 3 places, from Děčín, where it drains 51,096 km², down to Neu Darchau, where it drains 131,723 km². It is read in Czechia and Germany. For each point, the Global Flood Awareness System gives the chance that the river will exceed the flow it normally reaches only once every 2, 5 or 20 years.

GloFAS forecast of 19 Oct 2026

GloFAS rates the Elbe Inactive at all 3 points GloFAS reads.

GloFAS forecasts are computer model output, published for information only. They are not a flood warning: only national and regional authorities issue flood warnings for their own area. A reporting point is a place on the model's river network, which may sit a few kilometres from the town it is named after.

Every point GloFAS reads on the Elbe

Děčín, Czechia · drains 51,096 km²

No chance of exceeding even its 2-year flood flow in this forecast.

GloFAS alert level: Inactive · Peak expected: in 8-10 days (on 2026-10-27) · Rising

Dresden, Germany · drains 53,051 km²

No chance of exceeding even its 2-year flood flow in this forecast.

GloFAS alert level: Inactive · Peak expected: in 8-10 days (on 2026-10-28) · Rising

Neu Darchau, Germany · drains 131,723 km²

No chance of exceeding even its 2-year flood flow in this forecast.

GloFAS alert level: Inactive · Peak expected: in 11-14 days (on 2026-10-31) · Rising

Reported near the Elbe in the last 30 days

Distance is to the nearest point GloFAS reads on this river, not to the river itself. An event near the river is not necessarily a river flood.

What a 2-, 5- or 20-year flood flow is

It is the river flow that, at that point, is reached or exceeded on average once every 2, 5 or 20 years. A 2-year flow typically fills the channel to its banks; a 5-year or 20-year flow goes further. It measures how unusual the flow is, not what it will damage — the same flow can flood a town that has no defences and pass one that does. And "once in 20 years" is an average: two can come in a row.

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Contains modified Copernicus Emergency Management Service information 2026 — the Global Flood Awareness System (GloFAS). GloFAS.